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Pattern Outside of the SE thread

The heavier snow rates (on the order of an inch per hour) will
arrive by mid-morning across the north and will continue into the
afternoon. The strongest winds will be this morning, tapering off
gradually into the afternoon. The combination of heavy snow and
gusty winds up to around 30 mph at times will yield near blizzard
conditions across a good portion of northeast Oklahoma. Travel
will become downright dangerous. Major roads may close for a time,
including I-44.
 
BufordWX said:
I’m very curious to see how the temperatures will perform relative to the forecast given the Arctic air moving in. To do this, I will list the NWS forecast temperature and the latest HRRR run for 12z tomorrow (6:00 a.m.) at OKC and Tulsa. Also, these will be from the airports.
These are the current numbers:

OKC 2/18 12z:
NWS: 29
22z HRRR: 22

Tulsa: 2/18 12z:
NWS: 27
22z HRRR: 24

I will reply to this message a little after 6:00 AM with what the actual temperature is at these locations.
Click to expand...
Alright, it is just after 6:00 AM and here are the temperatures currently according to the mesonet.
1739880608484.png
At least according to the mesonet stations, OKC is down to 21, and Tulsa is down to 20.

I checked the airports as well, and they were only a degree higher.

As expected, temperatures have indeed dropped quicker than forecast and are even slightly colder than the 22z HRRR showed.
 
Dry powder alert

IMG-20250218-104507720-HDR.jpg
 
Not really too worried here... I think I always had doubts about a major storm with all this cold dry air but honestly I'm thinking we're close to an inch and with the sun angle going down now... I still think it's gonna look really nice here before it's over. TWC still has precip well after dark

That's what is so different about this storm many of the others it was a narrow window and over
 
Brent said:
I think a big issue last night is well known people were posting model runs with 8-12 inches 🤣

I always had a worst case scenario and I still think we're gonna end up close to it

Heck it's not even over yet and the sun is going down

Click to expand...

Is the issue out there that the heavy precip developed too far north of you (and I guess a little north of at least where the most optimistic models were showing it)?
 
superjames1992 said:
Is the issue out there that the heavy precip developed too far north of you (and I guess a little north of at least where the most optimistic models were showing it)?
Click to expand...

Perhaps. I mean the storyline pretty much up til the last minute last night was that north and NE of here would be favored. There was always even when they increased the totals in Tulsa proper a sharp cutoff nearby
 
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