Pattern Outside of the SE thread

[Brent]

This is the highest prediction they've had so far

 

[BufordWX]

Winter storm watch issued here. OUN also moved the higher snowfall totals slightly further north from yesterday.

 

[Brent]

The trend is your friend?

 

[SD]

The trend is your friend?
View attachment 131028

Oh yes the ol transitive property, it's cold today so tomorrow must be colder

 

[Tarheel1]

NAM = love! Let’s kick that NW trend in hard today!

 

[Tarheel1]

Pattern is loaded….

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Going to be a nice little snow event in Indiana. Probably 6"+ for Indianapolis.

 

[Tarheel1]

Hug CMC

 

[BufordWX]

Winter storm warning now out for me. Looks like about 4-6 inches right now.

 

[Brent]

Winter storm warning now out for me. Looks like about 4-6 inches right now.View attachment 131057

Good luck but all I can say otherwise is I hope the HRRR is wrong

 

[Brent]

That being said Tulsa finally issued a watch for me

 

[BufordWX]

Good luck but all I can say otherwise is I hope the HRRR is wrong View attachment 131060

Meanwhile the 18z NAM has other ideas. Gonna be interesting to see what models show this evening.

 

[Brent]

Meanwhile the 18z NAM has other ideas. Gonna be interesting to see what models show this evening.View attachment 131067

Very difficult forecast for sure. But the NAM has been pretty consistent here I will say

 

[BufordWX]

00z HRRR was a good bit further north with snowfall compared to earlier. More in line with the other models now.

 

[Brent]

Good grief. I'm sure it's overdone but yikes

 

[Brent]

Also it's no longer just model noise

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Reel it in guys ?

 

[Brent]

As if this isn't enough to talk about... Arctic air next week! Maybe another chance of wintry precip late Saturday or early Sunday?

 

[Brent]

 

[Tarheel1]

As if this isn't enough to talk about... Arctic air next week! Maybe another chance of wintry precip late Saturday or early Sunday?

It’s been a relatively sucky winter for snow here! I planning on doubling my season total in the next 10-14 days! Epic chair pics coming and temps in single digits for highs!

 

[Tarheel1]

It’s been a relatively sucky winter for snow here! I planning on doubling my season total in the next 10-14 days! Epic chair pics coming and temps in single digits for highs!View attachment 131118

 

[BufordWX]

Thundersnow going on in Texas this morning. Very dynamic system.

 

[BufordWX]

Heavy returns coming in from southwest OK. Already had a brief downpour a few minutes ago that dropped us a degree. Sitting at 37.5/28.5 right now Looks like the magic number for a change over to snow will be around 34. Things will hopefully be rocking in a few hours.

 

[RBR71]

Heavy returns coming in from southwest OK. Already had a brief downpour a few minutes ago that dropped us a degree. Sitting at 37.5/28.5 right now Looks like the magic number for a change over to snow will be around 34. Things will hopefully be rocking in a few hours.View attachment 131128

Many will be living through you guys vicariously today, nothing like radar/temp watching and seeing that first snow of a good snow storm fall! I'm jealous but enjoy!

 

[Brent]

I'm feeling good here... Someone is gonna get buried

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Shreveport reporting some Ice/sleet

 

[BullCityWx]

From my brother in NM

 

[BufordWX]

Already changing over in parts of OKC. Seems like the whole system is about 2 hours ahead of schedule right now.

 

[BullCityWx]

He is telling me it's the most snow that they've seen here and my niece is enjoying it. They were previously in PR so this is her first snow day in her entire life.

 

[Brent]

Already changing over in parts of OKC. Seems like the whole system is about 2 hours ahead of schedule right now.

I'm trying to remember the last time I saw a big heavy wet snowstorm... I mean the big storm last year was dry powder

This is gonna be insane

 

[BufordWX]

Rain/snow line racing east right now. Shouldn’t be too much longer.

 

[Brent]

Enid already ?

 

[BufordWX]

Rain/snow mix now. I’d say about 60% snow 40% rain. Temperature down to 35.

Edit: All snow now. 34.3

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Rain/snow mix now. I’d say about 60% snow 40% rain. Temperature down to 35.

Edit: All snow now. 34.3

Sucks that temps are so warm. I imagine that will cut down on accumulations some.

 

[BufordWX]

Best picture I can get at the moment. Some huge flakes right now. Temperature down to 33.

 

[Brent]

Everything west of here looks to be ahead of schedule so far. I think I'm just gonna stop looking at models they clearly are off

 

[BufordWX]

Everything west of here looks to be ahead of schedule so far. I think I'm just gonna stop looking at models they clearly are off

Hrrr has not done well with this system at all. Had me at 40 around this time during its runs last night. Even most other models were around 34 during the snowfall. Norman Mesonet station just dropped down to 32.9 and has been steadily falling.

 

[Tarheel1]

Everything west of here looks to be ahead of schedule so far. I think I'm just gonna stop looking at models they clearly are off

Get your chair ready! Round 2 next week!

 

[BufordWX]

Getting absolutely hammered right now under this band. Ground turning white and cars are covered all in the last 10 minutes.

 

[BufordWX]

Legit the heaviest snow I have ever seen. Even better that it’s during the daytime. Not even sure the pictures do it enough justice