Ostrich December

[ForsythSnow]

Gefs 12z
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And it's not even that skewed. Most members agree there will be some system.

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

I was just gonna say that...CMC starting to correct. #failmusic


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Yeah i didn’t like that look either. For once the cmc is probably most realistic

 

[Stormlover]

5 days out , yes. Until the euro joins the party this is just a fantasy. Even the cmc is backing off a bit


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time to start the thread!

 

[Stormdoc]

12Z GFS is just one near miss after another in the long range. Gotta think one of those chances we can finally score? If not, cold rain bonanza

 

[ATLwxfan]

Yeah i didn’t like that look either. For once the cmc is probably most realistic

I almost want to see CMC go Euro at 0z and at least take us out of our misery. I’d rather know it ain’t happening and then be surprised by a brief flizzard on Christmas.


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[ATLwxfan]

And it's not even that skewed. Most members agree there will be some system.
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What does GEFS see that none of the other models do? Bizarre.


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[Myfrotho704_]

Death band.

 

[Storm5]

Agree. If this wasn’t Christmas i wouldn’t be so excited. Hopefully the GFS reels it in

Totally agree that’s the only reason I’m remotely interested is because of Christmas


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[deltadog03]

I think Severe weather is just as possible, if not more than, snow with this one.....BUT.... I am just thankful we have had a pretty good December so far. I didn't expect this, to be honest.

 

[Storm5]

And it's not even that skewed. Most members agree there will be some system.
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[Storm5]

time to start the thread!

Not yet


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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

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god this pattern looks to go to dumpster fire ?when we start the new year...... SIKE hot damn I love fantasy land ?

Where’s my -AO tho?

 

[Deleted member 1449]

GFS with a legit -NAO beyond day 10. We need to get that signal inside day 7. Still, though, it is encouraging.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I smelly smell Baja wave

 

[Snowfan]

Either the GFS is on to something or it’s about to Rick Roll us

 

[BufordWX]

12z GFS showed a little snow out ahead of the system coming in the day after Christmas.

 

[Montanasnow30]

And it's not even that skewed. Most members agree there will be some system.
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I don’t care what y’all say but the gefs been consistently showing hits for this time period y’all may need to start thinking this system will probably much catch us off guard

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Trending towards a strong block on the GEFS

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I find it hard to believe our trough is pulling out that fast. I don’t really get it tbh besides it getting caught up with that low in the N Atlantic and pulling poleward.

 

[Metwannabe]

You all are grasping at straws with Christmas Day storm. Cold chasing moisture hardy bodes well for anyone outside the mountains. (And maybe the folks in the Midwest). The rest of the south, not so much. Barring some major changes with this system, I would really be taking the pessimistic position. I love snow as much as everyone else on this board. But climatology speaking, this is a horrible setup. Will things change between now and Christmas? For sure! But we still got 6 more days of modeling. The mesoscale modeling isn’t even within range. And we still need to wait for the NAM to really focus in the the 750’s and 925’s. Just my amateur thoughts as of now.


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So what if some are "grasping at straws", so what if the GFS is on an island and climo is against it, it's a model showing a potential for some. That's fun, that's why people discuss weather on a weather forum, it's their prerogative if they "buy into it" and get excited. They're not broadcasting official forecast and if it leads to disappointment oh well they had fun tracking and dreaming. I feel like your the guy that will tell his 3 yo there's no Santa Claus. Have some fun, don't be a killjoy