Ostrich December

[Dewpoint Dan]

We better get used to some cold rains!

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Or lots of snow

 

[accu35]

FWIW the GEFS looks much worse for our Anafront.

Its actually looks fine to me. But you know how the runs fluctuate lol

 

[Broken024]

I'm no expert but the next few weeks look to have alot of potential. We may swing and miss multiple times but at least we have something to swing at

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Wait a minute

 

[wxdaniel]

Wait a minute View attachment 58632View attachment 58634View attachment 58635View attachment 58633

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[Myfrotho704_]

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It produced this

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Wait a minute View attachment 58632View attachment 58634View attachment 58635View attachment 58633

Oof. That looks like some nasty severe weather

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[wxdaniel]

It produced this View attachment 58636

I don’t think we will get the CAPE we had in February in December.


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[Broken024]

It produced this View attachment 58636

Snow tornados expected

 

[Snowfan]

Snow tornados expected

More like snownado lol.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Its actually looks fine to me. But you know how the runs fluctuate lol

I mean it's not terrible, but overall a worse look. Everything was cut roughly in half.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Really? I've never caught that before. Sounds like a good deal to me, lol.

I don't know how bad it's been in the short-range, but I remember for this pattern in the longer term, models went from a neutral PNA - EPO to a +PNA, neutral/negative EPO.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Wait a minute View attachment 58632View attachment 58634View attachment 58635View attachment 58633View attachment 58637

Wait, what date is that? I see 200207.

 

[RVD]

Wait, what date is that? I see 200207.

Feb 7, 2020.

I don’t remember it either ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Wait, what date is that? I see 200207.

That’s the tornado outbreak last February 6th near Charlotte, I saw a dark low hanging cloud to
My south which ended up being a tornado
(Was quite a historic tornado outbreak for February standards around CLT)

 

[Webberweather53]

Wait a minute View attachment 58632View attachment 58634View attachment 58635View attachment 58633View attachment 58637

 

[SD]

? mega frost alert ?

 

[Webberweather53]

This is cool. Warmer basic state definitely changes the behavior of storms like this

~ 25% increase in PWATs

 

[jackendrickwx]

Feb 7, 2020.

I don’t remember it either ?

I’ll pass. Down the street

 

[NorthDFWwx]

The 18z GEFS members. e17 for the win!

e16 ain't bad either...modernweenie