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Ostrich December

Now this is the recipe to getting a winter storm in the SE, nice trough in place from a +PNA but plenty of blocking with a -AO/-NAO (kind of a pattern you just don’t often see nomore), this honestly looks better than January 2018 C54178C3-96AD-4409-9D0C-13C9B2CC95D7.gif9B16C4AD-3EFF-4975-85BE-6E0E0455A56F.png50B98CE2-5EE6-4996-8B6C-8AE301FE5657.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Now this is the recipe to getting a winter storm in the SE, nice trough in place from a +PNA but plenty of blocking with a -AO/-NAO (kind of a pattern you just don’t often see nomore), this honestly looks better than January 2018 View attachment 57725View attachment 57726View attachment 57727
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Again taking this with a grain of salt...Here is the EPS snowfall totals...
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Myfrotho704_ said:
Now this is the recipe to getting a winter storm in the SE, nice trough in place from a +PNA but plenty of blocking with a -AO/-NAO (kind of a pattern you just don’t often see nomore), this honestly looks better than January 2018 View attachment 57725View attachment 57726View attachment 57727
Click to expand...
I agree. We didn’t have blocking with mid-January storm in 2018... we just happened to have perfect timing with a transient cold shot. With blocking in play, and this kind of a look, we could see a board wide event.
 
Ollie Williams said:
Really was a bearish run overall, and not really enough to convey a signal. Member 47 only really skewed the mean.
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It’s slim pickings at this point. It’s around now that we at least get some fantasy storms. We’ve had very little to this point.


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SD said:
12z eps has almost no members 60+ after Christmas now. (A few members have a late frontal passage on the 26th)
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I'm only pointing this out because having the eps at 5 to 10 below normal at days 13+ with a decent agreement is pretty significant. Could it change and be warmer? Sure. Will it? Not sure
 
SD said:
Just remember at this time in 2017 we were looking at mid 70s on the models leading into Christmas and afterward. Not saying we suddenly see big cold and snow on the models just that you never know...
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And I was cleaning up my yard after a foot of snow took down 100 limbs. Those were the days.
 
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