Pattern Octoburn

[Myfrotho704_]

If we could dig a cutoff into that it would probably snow in some places outside of the mountains. Flow is probably too progressive though but it likely got a cold rain in it and I don't hate that tbh

Yeah if we can hang on to the block in top longer then something interesting could happen, we made the fast progressive look work last early Dec outside the mountains and the event was a rather cold setup, I’d imagine that +PNA slowly backs up into a -EPO sometime in mid/late Nov, but with the +PNA we are slowly getting colder/stepping down already

 

[jackendrickwx]

lets see if we can't get a nice little rainy week out of our monday wedgefest/late week upper low. i mean it really is just southern slider/gulf low with a wedge in place lol, just late october. lots of folks around here will be stuck upper 40s/low 50s for highs.





slide an AK ridge in and you have the miller B H5 composite, more or less

 

[Myfrotho704_]

always gotta appreciate a good look, even in fall

 

[Tarheel1]

Now this is more like October here some 30s away from the city

Coolest morning since April View attachment 175629

Oooof

 

[SD]

lets see if we can't get a nice little rainy week out of our monday wedgefest/late week upper low. i mean it really is just southern slider/gulf low with a wedge in place lol, just late october. lots of folks around here will be stuck upper 40s/low 50s for highs.
View attachment 175633
View attachment 175634



slide an AK ridge in and you have the miller B H5 composite, more or less
View attachment 175635

Nw trend might be brutal here

 

[weather bubba]

Raleigh's NWS discussion mentioned that frost can't be ruled out for early next week. If this happens, it would actually be a few days ahead of schedule. The first frost usually occurs around Halloween in the RDU area.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Nov snow ?

 

[jackendrickwx]

Nw trend might be brutal here

good lord i forgot that existed

 

[Brent]

43/82

I'm still not seeing any really cold air here in the next 2 weeks despite everyone talking about it. I mean let's remember our average first freeze is by then... It's supposed to be turning way colder

 

[Rain Cold]

There has been a ton of ridging in Canada over the last couple of months. Not sure if that portends anything for winter, but it's been noteworthy.

 

[D-Ray]

33 this morning with a nice frost

 

[NCSNOW]

Leaf report from 5,000 feet. They gone

 

[EmersonGA]

34.7 with plenty of frost. Judging by the grass and fig leaves we had a bit of frost earlier in the week too.

 

[CaryWx]

What's the story on any good rains next Mon-Weds in NC? Mets seem a bit non-committal still.

 

[Brent]

Well we had our famine now its time for a feast never fails here

I assume this is what may get to NC next week it's supposed to be like days of rain here

 

[NCSNOW]

What's the story on any good rains next Mon-Weds in NC? Mets seem a bit non-committal still.

Latest Euro Op says go buy a boat, might need it:

 

[rburrel2]

We’re really wasting a perfect set up in late October huh? Typical.

 

[Brent]

Always right before the dry winter sets in

Today was our last 80 for awhile?

 

[RBR71]

Officially hit D2 drought today, desert like, clear skies, calm winds, already down to 48.... first frost definitely incoming

 

[NCSNOW]

Super Cad week in bound as we start off next week. Ops keep saying it's gonna be a white Halloween for the Mtn Folks. And some rain finally for the rest of us. Cold Rain at that.

 

[NCSNOW]

Jack Frost snipping around this morning. Usually shows up on avg 10/20. 4 days late this year, but close enough

 

[Brent]

Already a ton of rain in spots here overnight. Didn't expect that

 

[RBR71]

Officially hit D2 drought today, desert like, clear skies, calm winds, already down to 48.... first frost definitely incoming

Meh, 37 again, maybe a patch or two of frost. Can't even do radiational cooling right anymore

 

[jackendrickwx]

Looks like 39 at the airport here and saw some roof frost for the first time

 

[D-Ray]

34 this morning with frost

 

[Brent]

Lol what a start. Models have done poorly(the story of 2025)

 

[SD]

Oof

 

[RBR71]

OofView attachment 175664

Shocked I tell ya just shocked.

 

[CaryWx]

OofView attachment 175664

SD, was it you that posted a few weeks back about this forecast phenomenon happening over and over this season? Models show much wetness then as we get closer to the event back off.

 

[SD]

SD, was it you that posted a few weeks back about this forecast phenomenon happening over and over this season? Models show much wetness then as we get closer to the event back off.

I might have but it's definitely true, its really incredible

 

[SD]

 

[Brent]

I hope it's more widespread for y'all...we're doing ok but some places are getting badly screwed here so far

 

[SNOWMANN]

Cold morning here in the foothills. 30°

 

[SNOWMANN]

Looks like some snow is on the way for the highest elevations next week. Mt. Mitchell, Roan and Beech should get there first measurable snow. Beech already had some very light snow reported earlier in the week from very brief flow after the front.

 

[FallsLake]

My coldest reading in the yard is 37.3, but that is at ground level. I've got two other thermometers at ~5' that are near 40. So, no frost for me this morning.

 

[RBR71]

33, now that's more like it

 

[jeremyt]

The cirrocumulus clouds this morning were too nice to pass up a photo op while driving home from work. This was eastern Union county. Also had what I think were our lowest temps so far around 37-38.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

3 sizeable frosts this week. Feels great out

 

[AJ1013]

Going to get our first low in the 60's (and perhaps 50's) around halloween here. Finally a potent cold front!

 

[iGRXY]

First chicken stew of the season around here. Nothing better than CAD cold rain and some stew except snow and stew lol