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Pattern October Thread

Just got back from a one night camping trip at (..of course) Falls Lake. It was great sleeping last night. Temps were in the mid 60s with a slight breeze. Well above temperatures this time of year equals great camping weather. But as we were packing up this morning many others were doing the same thing; trying to beat the storms.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Why is that post getting dislikes lol ? 70s and low 80s with low dews is great weather ?! Don’t see how that’s hot at all, I guess 50s with a cold breeze is great weather and better then that
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It's comfortable still no doubt. Just tired of above average temps, they need to give it a rest for awhile. And I mean more than a day or two at a time then right back to +5 to +10 anominalies. Tired of seeing Brad P post everyday about how it's always record warmth and how snow is such a rarity anymore in Charlotte. I know hes right just tired of seeing him beat a dead horse. Easy to see what his winter forecast will be. I wish he'd go ahead and release it instead of waiting until November. We know it's going so say above average temps and below average snow. He will state though snowfall is highly unpredictable and Yada Yada
 
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RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
It's comfortable still no doubt. Just tired of above average temps, they need to give it a rest for awhile. And I mean more than a day or two at a time then right back to +5 to +10 anominalies. Tired of seeing Brad P post everyday about how it's always record warmth and how snow is such a rarity anymore in Charlotte. I know hes right just tired of seeing him beat a dead horse. Easy to see what his winter forecast will be. I wish he'd go ahead and release it instead of waiting until November. We know it's going so say above average temps and below average snow. He will state though snowfall is highly unpredictable and Yada Yada
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Expecting to hear “all it takes is moisture syncing up with cold air at the right time” in his winter forecast haha
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Expecting to hear “all it takes is moisture syncing up with cold air at the right time” in his winter forecast haha
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Well if I would include that if I were him. I do think he’ll be right. While I do expect temperatures to be above normal overall this winter, I do think CLT will get a 4”+ snowfall at some point… it’s definitely due
 
Chazwin said:
Well if I would include that if I were him. I do think he’ll be right. While I do expect temperatures to be above normal overall this winter, I do think CLT will get a 4”+ snowfall at some point… it’s definitely due
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I mean, it's impossible to be wrong with such a common sense prediction, lol.
 
We hopefully will get in on some heavy showers as the front moves through .. maybe .25 if we’re lucky! They already developing 38A779C3-60CD-4BCF-845B-99EFB258E81B.png
 
Other things to note is models continue to like to spit out these blocks (not in the best locations for optimal chill) that are set up to our north sometimes showing up as anomalous .. these are what I think will save our winter from being a complete dumpster fire. As they did last winter. Will we make it without a SER the whole winter? Probably not but those blocks will certainly help us try to stay balanced and keep a chance for snow in the cards every so often. 60C7B6CD-B1BC-4C31-89E3-445899D35BFB.png
 
Models are trending towards digging that trough more towards the west coast and speeding up the flow across the US to one more zonal/fast, if that’s the case then that could possibly introduce some anomalous warmth back, however the Canadian block will try to work against that BC3A8CC2-F21F-4696-9AE5-BAF5493DCC1A.png6E7EBC11-A85D-4B0F-870B-F6662E128E6B.png13B58C70-08D3-430C-9410-9120613B7113.png
 
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