GFS downright chilly past next weekend
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October Odyssey
- Thread starter Myfrotho704_
- Start date
60/40 predicted for Friday... Get Me There.
Widespread 40s, legit Porn: 
CMC is legit close to a winter storm 
Cold front coming through right now. Snapped a quick picture of the strip of clouds associated with it. I’m in bed currently and saw it out the window so sorry the picture looks a little ugly. Now that it has passed it is crazy hearing the winds absolutely roaring out there. Lol
Blue norther?
RAH mentioned a chance of frost again in their overnight discussion. The Canadian seems to be the colder model in terms of dewpoints (upper 20s and lower 30s board-wide). The GFS is next with a lot of lower to mid 30s. And the European continues to be the warmest (again with dewpoints). RAH weather graph is showing a dewpoint to low temperature difference of 4-5 degrees. Meaning a dewpoint of 37 is giving a low of ~ 41. They look to be following the European right now (at least for the RDU area). Lets hope the European is a little too warm.
I could see that bringing some wrap around snow to the mountains of NC and VA, but I doubt a low in that position would have much in the way of precipitation into the Piedmont
The Euro is usually a little too warm with overnight lows in good radiational cooling conditions.
Really looking like RDU doesn't make it out of the 50s on Saturday.
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This is one more for the Canadian (..as posted by Myfrotho above). This is for 18z this Saturday. Temps would be falling into the 40s for central NC as temps are still in the upper 60s in NYC to Boston. For us that's more like a Thanksgiving day.
Here's a great summary of the US pattern/forecast and other areas from a pro met, Eric Snodgrass. No hype. or BS..just the facts with lots of good and interesting info with an agricultural emphasis. If you have time, it is well worth a listen:
LickWx
Member
To those using the Canadian, I don't trust that model a single bit. Its always way too cold. It has not seen a cold front it didnt think had potential to smash records.
Let's track the cmc vs gfs vs icon vs Euro for this weekend at RDU
Yep, temperature today is about 25 degrees lower then yesterday. The winds were tremendous when it came through. I also saw a few reports of “blowing dust” in the area and I think I saw some too because the visibility took a noticeable hit after the front passed by. Makes sense given the dry conditions to the west. I’m outside right now and it is windy as heck still. Loving it!
LickWx
Member
Well it is kind of raining on the cmc
LickWx
Member
Yeah but none of the other models show that rain, they show nice sunny dry conditions. Plus if we back out the view to the entire CONUS, Canadian has some crazy pinks all across the central part of the nation, -30 anomalies whereas the GFS and Euro show nothing that close. I dont know what it is about the Canadian and its tendency to go overboard on cold every cold front. Canadians I guess, they know nothing but the cold.