severestorm
Member
Hoping for drought reversal in the plains. Mississippi is drying up, impacting supply chain. CFS points to a continuation until next year.
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Pattern October '22
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
GFS already playing games .. we will probably be 70 degrees here when the time comes but at least we know the gfs is beginning it’s games early 
JHS
Member
12z GFS is warmer. Hope it's right.
Brent
Member
Man that was something here. It poured right at lunchtime and then the temps dropped nearly 20 degrees... time to find my hoodie ?
Ended up with a brief spin up from the line this morning about 10 miles southwest of OKC.
Next couple of weeks still look dominated by a deep -PNA/Aleutian ridge due to poor trop forcing. Continued AN temps (some cool days perhaps from wedging) seem to be the continued theme. EPS has a deep -PNA the entire run. Imo the evolution seems to remind me of last December where we’re gonna be stuck in a 2-3 week long stretch of -PNA. 
I do think mid-late november the higher latitudes respond or we see signs that the favorable sub seasonal pattern (high latitude blocking) might become prevalent. pacific is in question but +AAM events love to eventually (it’s a timely process not a overnight one) extend the pacific jet down the stretch (it is after all a more nino type of atmospheric forcing). Possibly might see some sort of switch as the upper SE (NC/VA/TN esp) starts to enter the very first window of climo for wintry wx. But for now, we warm folks
I do think mid-late november the higher latitudes respond or we see signs that the favorable sub seasonal pattern (high latitude blocking) might become prevalent. pacific is in question but +AAM events love to eventually (it’s a timely process not a overnight one) extend the pacific jet down the stretch (it is after all a more nino type of atmospheric forcing). Possibly might see some sort of switch as the upper SE (NC/VA/TN esp) starts to enter the very first window of climo for wintry wx. But for now, we warm folks
Lunch needed! 
Bit foggy. 53
NoSnowATL
Member
Dipped to 64.
You gonna make it?
NoSnowATL
Member
50/50
That Aleutian ridge is dreadful, well for cold lovers anyways (;
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
It can be like that all it wants in October and November!
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Looks like a great pattern!
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Good to get out of the way now, I will happily accept the golf weather for a couple more months
Frozen mix with a high of 54 and low of 43, it’s time to ditch this app ??
I need that Anthony Anderson meme, where he’s in the yellow suit licking his lips and rubbing his hands!
Currently 43
Itryatgolf
Member
Fro, I have a question. Why are we switching to the +AAM state moving forward for a while? What is the catalyst causing that? Not sure if that's good for cold weather chances moving forward. El Nino atmosphere in la niña. You are the man with knowledge ?
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