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Pattern October '22

It really is remarkable how little fall color there is in our area with the cooler temps since late September. Just goes to show you it has just as much to do with latitude as temps. We are going to peak in early November like we always do.
 
The latest American and Euro runs continue to show a wet Halloween. Still lots of time for this to change, but it's a little discouraging both are showing it.
 
It really is remarkable how little fall color there is in our area with the cooler temps since late September. Just goes to show you it has just as much to do with latitude as temps. We are going to peak in early November like we always do.
Just drive a bit north. It gets beautiful quick. This is from a week ago. A lot have already dropped.
 

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Just drive a bit north. It gets beautiful quick. This is from a week ago. A lot have already dropped.

Is that a pignut hickory? My hickories are still green.
 
It really is remarkable how little fall color there is in our area with the cooler temps since late September. Just goes to show you it has just as much to do with latitude as temps. We are going to peak in early November like we always do.
I was noticing here in Birmingham that there hasn't been much change in the past two or three weeks like there was the first few weeks in regards the leaf colors.
 
The gfs modeled hurricane is getting close to setting up a tap into the Caribbean off the east coast. A slower front and more west track would lead to a possible heavy rain event along the coast
 
I'll say that the next 10 day are going to be a lot of 70's and upper 40's and low 50's days which will be nice. But the GFS is really loading the cold around the day 10 timeframe. That's a serious front and it just keeps reloading with lobes of cold air heading directly over the southeast. the end of the run looked to be heading with to another pumping of the +PNA and getting another batch of fresh cold air heading that way. Highs are like 40's/low 50's and lows in the 20's and low 30's day 10-the end of the run with more coming.
 
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