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Pattern Novemburrr

The CFS is gonna be 2 for 2: Called the Oct 20 timeframe well in advance, And appears to have this 2cnd half November Cold pegged as advertised.

Seeing the same drumbeat for December. It has alot of blocking so really getting some nice looking frames. Big thing is it's showing them continously EAST Coast Troughing. We will see how she continues to roll over the next couple of weeks. This is way out there ( first half of December) but since its been suprisingly correct so far, I'll keep giving it the benefit of the doubt, until it wets the bed. Heres some eye candy . Looking for signals.

1636980068299.png
 
NCSNOW said:
The CFS is gonna be 2 for 2: Called the Oct 20 timeframe well in advance, And appears to have this 2cnd half November Cold pegged as advertised.

Seeing the same drumbeat for December. It has alot of blocking so really getting some nice looking frames. Big thing is it's showing them continously EAST Coast Troughing. We will see how she continues to roll over the next couple of weeks. This is way out there ( first half of December) but since its been suprisingly correct so far, I'll keep giving it the benefit of the doubt, until it wets the bed. Heres some eye candy . Looking for signals.

View attachment 95008
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Rate driven here
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Biggest temp spreads Since last February View attachment 95006
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Probably going to need to develop a full on -nao block or do something in the pac to draw the trough out of AK (either west to pump the pna,nor east to bring in the core of the cold) or our region gets into slightly BN pattern with the core of the cold centered to our north
 
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Shaggy said:
My nerdiness hit a weekly high this morning. Had an amazing temp inversion set up with coldest air settling in the very bottom of the ditch causing frost only at the bottom.View attachment 95009
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Pretty similar here my yard frost... neighbors up the hill didn't have any. As you went down the hill closer to the pond the roofs got more and more frosty
 
SD said:
Pretty similar here my yard frost... neighbors up the hill didn't have any. As you went down the hill closer to the pond the roofs got more and more frosty
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It's like a reverse snow line in the mountains. I showed the pic to my wife and she just eye rolled me and said "the neighbors are watching you being a nerd"
 
SD said:
Watch the strat evolution over the next 2 don't want to start stacking into AK unless you want warmth
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I don’t want any sort of trough/TPV around AK in anyway to linger if it stays then we would have to totally rely on the Atlantic or retrogression, because when it gets stuck there, it’s hard to move
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Wow View attachment 95012View attachment 95013
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You really need a connection between the ridge axis just off the coast and the block north of AK, for best results. Too much spacing between will get you a cool Canda and a glancing blow modified cool airmass across the US...or at worst, a warmer regime.

You often see the top of a big, tall ridge roll over and break off way up there and allow Pacific air into the US. Not ideal.
 
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