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Pattern Novemburrr

37.7F here, it was 40 by 8PM last night, then up and down all night as usual. I have way to much wind here being up on a hill.

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Even the GEFS and EPS snowfall members look like complete crap for the mountains for Tennessee and North Carolina. They were holding promise for a few days. I will say that we’ve had some early cold and snow the last several years with crap to follow, so maybe we will peak in January and February.
 
Is this joe bastardi milarki or truth to this?? cause this would be an ideal time for such warming View attachment 95425
BS! He’s been calling for a cold January and February for the past 44 years, and he’s never right! He’s fear mongering people and commodities companies! To quote the greates baseball movie of all time “ FU Joe B” ????
 
BS! He’s been calling for a cold January and February for the past 44 years, and he’s never right! He’s fear mongering people and commodities companies! To quote the greates baseball movie of all time “ FU Joe B” ????
True but I’m talking more about the strat warming are models actually picking up on that cause I thought someone posted something where PV was consolidating last week or something
 
True but I’m talking more about the strat warming are models actually picking up on that cause I thought someone posted something where PV was consolidating last week or something
It really changes from week to week! 3 weeks ago, the PV was taking a beating , last week it was strengthening. Strat warming’s are really just hocus pocus for cold weenies! When they happen, MJO dominates and negates the positive effects or the cold dumps into Europe! This winter has major problems for cold and snow lovers, I believe! Myself included!
 
It really changes from week to week! 3 weeks ago, the PV was taking a beating , last week it was strengthening. Strat warming’s are really just hocus pocus for cold weenies! When they happen, MJO dominates and negates the positive effects or the cold dumps into Europe! This winter has major problems for cold and snow lovers, I believe! Myself included!
Totally agree it doesn’t look great for sustained cold or snow but strat warming isn’t malarkey there’s truth to it and we need all we can get with the luck of a La Niña year
 
Really quite the warming trend for Tuesday. What once seemed like a very impressive cold blast has backed off each and every run. Now just slightly BN followed by a pretty warm turkey day
Low 40s Tuesday highs and mid upper 20s for lows and turkey day stays in the 50s lol plenty cold on most models
 
Low 40s Tuesday highs and mid upper 20s for lows and turkey day stays in the 50s lol plenty cold on most models
Mid to upper 40s Tuesday. And pushing near 60 Thursday. Thats average to above average for thanksgiving

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12z Wednesday
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12z today. Clear trend here. It backed way off
 
I’ll be honest the CMC and GFS are deadly close to something in the medium range
Not going to be cold enough. GFS is way too warm and CMC is showing it's cold bias. Hopefully, we'll get some needed rainfall, though.
 
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