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Pattern Novemburrr

Not quite a true mega frost but it'll doView attachment 94406
Better than me, but I do have some ice on the car tops and frost in the open (to sky) areas. / I don't think RDU got down to freezing. It will be interesting to see if we break the latest first freeze date this year (currently Dec 4th).
 
Nice. Im over in Bostic and the range is off to my west. I know Ropper hollow. I gain access via this road when I run at the park. Got a link for that wx station?
Yes I'll give it to you when I get home to my computer and I did see snow yesterday the snow line went as low as 2600 ft.
 
HRRR disagrees.


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Yeah 3k is probably high end but have to believe the NW side of the precip shield is more expansive than the models have like always. Getting the super mega rain like the 3k and to a lesser extent the euro has depends on if the 850mb/700mb lows track more N to NNE closer to the coast or if they angle more NE away from the coast.
 
Even the HRRR is getting excited with winds .. think the coast at least has to worry about this View attachment 94409
This one has some potential to get windy with the sfc ridge axis nosed down the piedmont if the center of the sfc low rides up the coast. 1020-24 in the piedmont 999-1004 along the coast gives us a decent gradient
 
Any speed up in timing will result in bands of sleet/snow mix for the MTN counties of northern NC, eastern TN and south west VA. Also timing could favor some initial sleet to cold rain again for the same areas that just saw it outside of the mountain counties.
 
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