Pattern Novemburrr

[LickWx]

Don't look at the 18z 12k nam. Big rain and cold

Dew points verify lower ?

 

[Webberweather53]

The SE US invents new ways to lose out on cold/snow. Now there's too much SE trend!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The last couple weeks has basically been presenting Classic last nina type things, the pattern has been mostly warm this October and quite AN, with a dominating pacific trough which has mostly been keeping a pacific firehose over NA, but little changes in the pacific with retrogression is gonna result in this, when the cold happens in la ninas it’s typically more potent View attachment 94041but we’re already getting this look back again, it’s a La Niña actually acting like a La Niña for once View attachment 94042

It’s not bad, while the pacific trough would probably mean dominating warmth most of the time if it was to stay, if we retrograded to this from time to time in cycles then there would shots at SE snow View attachment 94043

Just like you were basically quiet about what's coming up. Sure it's gonna get warm but first it's gonna get chilly and I'm fine with that.

View attachment 94135

I was Very quiet lol, shi I was seeing snow potential at one point lol like a weenie, if we’re gonna cold rain on Thursday, at least hope I see a sleet pellet and I’ll stop bitching

 

[Webberweather53]

I'm so glad I don't have to deal w/ cold rain anymore. This week's setup gives me Vietnam flashbacks to all the 33 & rains I saw last winter in NC

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I'm so glad I don't have to deal w/ cold rain anymore.

I’m so glad I get to work in it on Thursday !
Hugging the euro a cool drier day is 1000x better

 

[jackendrickwx]

RAH has adjusted thursday temps down. Now w/ 51 here.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

So close to onset IP/RN

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Decent advisory snow in WNC on 18Z NAM

 

[Myfrotho704_]

These spreads are crazy, getting above 30F

 

[jackendrickwx]

Wow we have a NAM’ing

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Wow we have a NAM’ingView attachment 94144

I’m All in

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

I’m All in

Same. I mean why wouldn’t we be for the first of November? All house money at this point anyway.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

NWS snow map is out…4-5” for mount Mitchell…1-2” beech…2-3” roan…3-4” mount guyot.

 

[SD]

18z NAM was a little faster with the front would be kind of awesome to get a mid afternoon passage

 

[NorthDFWwx]

DFW made to 80*F again today, with mostly sunny skies.

 

[GaWx]

New Bleakies are slightly cooler for November at ATL vs the prior run with -1.5 vs -1.0 on the prior run. The run from one week ago had -2.5, the coldest of all the runs for Nov. The first half of Dec is only 1 F AN vs the cooler 1981-2010 30 year average. I'd take that! That's near to slightly BN vs 1991-2020.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Novemburrrrrrrr

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Some sleet might actually be a legitimate possibility with this, evap cooling never fails in the cold season to produce onset IP/RN with large low level dry layers and wet bulb temps aloft below 0C, only problem is 940mb-sfc is above freezing

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Euro nailed October

 

[Myfrotho704_]