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Pattern November Nuances

ForsythSnow said:
This is much better. But is it really possible? Trends have been south with the low and a much flatter tilt, making cold chasing moisture less likely and a swath of snow possible.
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If this was January, this would been a board wide winterstorm.
 
Snowfan said:
If this was January, this would been a board wide winterstorm.
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Definitely. However, if we look at the circumstances, the cold blast is unusual for the year. If the initial blast could be colder, it would be more likely to be a nice storm. We aren't looking at that though. What we want is a system that is flatter to produce a southern slider situation. MS, AL, and W TN look to be the best for seeing flakes because that's all this could produce realistically. Maybe some accumulation in there as well, but minimal. If it trends flatter, GA could come into play as well as the mountains and E TN.
 
I was looking at the control and cherry picking EPS members a moment ago and a handful actually try to squeeze out a few flakes on the 11th in the upstate ahead of that system..I just don’t see it
 
ForsythSnow said:
Definitely. However, if we look at the circumstances, the cold blast is unusual for the year. If the initial blast could be colder, it would be more likely to be a nice storm. We aren't looking at that though. What we want is a system that is flatter to produce a southern slider situation. MS, AL, and W TN look to be the best for seeing flakes because that's all this could produce realistically. Maybe some accumulation in there as well, but minimal. If it trends flatter, GA could come into play as well as the mountains and E TN.
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Still 4/5 days away to go either way, but the trend has been flatter and low placement further south and cold push faster. CMC catching on, icon is trying so this could get interesting very quick.
 
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