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Pattern November Knock-Out

Yep, much better Fall season than last year this time.

Fall has been way better this year vs last year without a doubt. I’ve been a little below normal for most of November with only a few days of well above average. I will say that we have been lacking that true deep freeze cold as my grass in my yard continued to grow slowly into last week. Last night though my temp hit freezing around 8pm and was at 30 by 10pm so that long hard freeze should put a stop to the grass growth. Hopefully by the beginning of January we will have some true Artic air and snow storms to track. But until January starts I won’t worry to much about missing out this winter as it’s still way to early to call it one way or the other.
 
Coldest night of the Fall last night here as we dropped to 26. It was also our first freeze and first hard freeze. It felt great! We barely hit 50 yesterday and here just before 2 p.m. sit at 56. Perfect fall weather.
 
Dallas has set a record for longest time without a freeze

and the forecast keeps trending warmer

Wake me when this pattern ends

I drove to Dallas for the Jan. 2, 1984 Cotton Bowl (UGA vs. Texas), and the high - the *high*, mind you - was in the mid-30's that day. We froze our butts off, but at least the Dawgs won.
 
Fall has been way better this year vs last year without a doubt. I’ve been a little below normal for most of November with only a few days of well above average. I will say that we have been lacking that true deep freeze cold as my grass in my yard continued to grow slowly into last week. Last night though my temp hit freezing around 8pm and was at 30 by 10pm so that long hard freeze should put a stop to the grass growth. Hopefully by the beginning of January we will have some true Artic air and snow storms to track. But until January starts I won’t worry to much about missing out this winter as it’s still way to early to call it one way or the other.
I also feel as we could get something of a winterstorm sometime in December as well.
 
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This pattern is woof. Sorry but we aren't going to see a planetary scale ridge stretch over literally all of North America and torch the whole continent, the large scale configuration favors a trough near the eastern US. Lol the EPS needs to quit taking notes from unreasonably warm climate models like the CFSv2
 
Setting up for Dingleberry December!
View attachment 1545

This pattern is woof. Sorry but we aren't going to see a planetary scale ridge stretch over literally all of North America and torch the whole continent, the large scale configuration favors a trough near the eastern US. Lol the EPS needs to quit taking notes from unreasonably warm climate models like the CFSv2
that pattern as show, = Dook!
December to remember, on the table! Dilly Dilly ain't looking that chilly!
 
FWIW - Don't count any chickens. The eggs haven't even been laid yet ...

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Not saying anything in agreement, just being cautious, and probably silly.
The Curmudgeon

PS - If it's lost in translation, I'm wholeheartedly with Webb above ...
 
Slight chance of being warmer than normal for the first week of December is not a big deal. Hoping the hammer drops by the 2nd half of the month.
 
GFS is still suggesting a zonal-"ish" flow for early December. Cold hanging on in the far northeastern US. That's okay, it's normal for the jet stream to relax and let the cold
"re-load."
8ff29c2ead3daf08e7be22d1831eae22.jpg


Sent from my SM-J327T1 using Tapatalk
 
GFS is still suggesting a zonal-"ish" flow for early December. Cold hanging on in the far northeastern US. That's okay, it's normal for the jet stream to relax and let the cold
"re-load."
8ff29c2ead3daf08e7be22d1831eae22.jpg


Sent from my SM-J327T1 using Tapatalk
I love a re-load of normal!
 
I love a re-load of normal!

Normal is the new below normal. Take normal and run these days! I haven't seen a single below normal month in nearly 2 years! But I'll finally have a shot this month. If not this month, I've already predicted a below normal Dec for the SE as per QBO/ENSO analogs thanks mainly to a cold 2nd half.
 
Setting up for Dingleberry December!
Your warmish view is a little disturbing. I don't know if you are serious or just trying to poke fun at those who are looking for something promising. "Dingleberry December" ??? Please explain.....
 
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