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Pattern November Knock-Out

Looks like the weather is going to be calm for the rest of this month and into early December. I hope mother nature brings something for us to track soon.

There won't be much of anything to track for us here in the southeast with that tall broad western ridge that will be progressing eastward as December closes in.

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Oh no, zonal flow 2nd/3rd day of December .we know what that means
....boring
22ffc99b81527b60a07bde7c999c68ae.jpg


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OTD in 1914...
November 19-20 1914 NC Snowmap.png

Here are MSLP & thickness, 500 hPa vorticity and height, 2 PVU (dynamic tropopause) potential temperature & wind, and 700 hPa Specific humidity & wind snapshots from the ECMWF's 20th Century Reanalysis dataset taken at 18z November 19th during and just after the height of the event which most likely occurred on the morning of the 19th over central NC. Some northwesterly upslope flow resulted in mountain snow showers lingered into the 20th...

1000-500 hPa thickness (shaded) & MSLP (contours)
18z November 19 1914 MSLP and Thickness.jpg


500 hPa relative vorticity (shaded) & height (contour)
18z November 19 1914 500hPa vorticity and geopotential height.jpg

2 PVU potential temperature (shaded) & wind (wind barbs)
18z November 19 1914 2PVU Potential Temperature and Wind.jpg


700 hPa specific humidity (shaded) and wind (wind barbs)
18z November 19 1914 700 hPa Specific Humidity and Wind.jpg


Given that surface temperatures during the event were about 3-4C (~37-39F) and several inches accumulated in many areas of the central piedmont, the snow that was observed was likely melting on its way to the ground and probably was very heavy and wet

12z November 19 1914 1000 hPa temperatures
12z November 19 1914 1000 hPa temperature.jpg
 
Take a mental picture, it's the only time your going to see white ground this winter! :(
You were doing so well keeping positive don't fail us now. The Euro in the long range doesn't look too horrible and there is still plenty of time... keep the faith my friend.

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It was torch city for the previous two years and we still got snow, just because the models aren't showing blockbuster cold and snow now doesn't mean this winter is cancelled lol.

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You were doing so well keeping positive don't fail us now. The Euro in the long range doesn't look too horrible and there is still plenty of time... keep the faith my friend.

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I'm trying! Just feeling like the same ole song and dance! Oh man, GFS,CMC , Euro, blah blah, looks sooooo cold by day 10, day 10 comes and normal to above. :(
 
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