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Pattern November Knock-Out

Tarheel1 said:
Have to disagree. That wasn't a once in a thousand year set up! All it takes is one good banana high, and a weak gulf low! I was reading on it awhile back, I think the surface low was 1018 mb, or close to it. We may not see it again in our lifetime , but chances are we see something like it, before we see another superstorm '93
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Indeed, Mack! Also, the 2/17-18/1979 storm was only down to 1018 mb in the Gulf. The 12/1917 storm was only down to 1020 mb. The great blizzard of 2/1899 was only down to 1017 mb. Usually the Arctic high to the north covers a large area and is normally initially at 1040+ mb just before precip gets going with these very weak lows.
 
Tarheel1 said:
Have to disagree. That wasn't a once in a thousand year set up! All it takes is one good banana high, and a weak gulf low! I was reading on it awhile back, I think the surface low was 1018 mb, or close to it. We may not see it again in our lifetime , but chances are we see something like it, before we see another superstorm '93
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The thing is though, is that the 1988 snowstorm took a very rare track giving everyone from Memphis Tenn to the NC coast a big snow. Winter weather went very far south with this system. It's certain most of us see snow again, but just not from the same system. The stronger lows seem to be the way things are going now and they always tend to go north. Superstorm 93 was an exception, but it was too far north for me to get much out of it. I'd give anything if that had come in January instead of March and had tracked 75-100 miles farther south with the same strength. It would have taken upstate SC a month or more to dig out.
 
Maybe warmer than warmish...
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ATLwxfan said:
Maybe warmer than warmish...
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Nice! 384 temp anomaly maps! Good try, I promise that will verify! :)
 
Companys coming. Still a ways out but on the way. Meanwhile enjoy the normal ebbs and flows of November. Hopefully by the end of this month after the seasonal wavelengths begin to lock into winter season regime , we get handed a good pattern.
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I think we've gotten to the point where even well above is not necessarily hot. I'd be more worried if we saw that look early this month or in September, otherwise, this is a marathon, not a sprint and I'll take my low to mid 70s and run away with it knowing it could be worse.
 
The GFS is fine until 288 temp wise and I'm hopeful that that goes away by the time it gets here. Because I've noticed that as late next week has drawn closer, it's gotten cooler and cooler.

Late next week I mean. Man was I mentally fatigued yesterday.
 
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Don’t worry gang, after this weekend we can go ahead and apply the pre-emergent.


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ATLwxfan said:
Don’t worry gang, after this weekend we can go ahead and apply the pre-emergent.


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Who was the first one to come up with that line anyway? Seems like it was used a lot last winter. Just as long as nobody picks up a sled before winter starts we should be ok. ;)
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
The GFS is fine until 288 temp wise and I'm hopeful that that goes away by the time it gets here. Because I've noticed that as late next week has drawn closer, it's gotten cooler and cooler.

Late next week I mean. Man was I mentally fatigued yesterday.
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LMAO I think I jinxed us. Oh well...
 
About those cliff divers, when they start diving, they better not return when the cold returns back.o_O Phill is right, way to early to know how things will go.
 
This just feels too much like last year. Remember saying it’s only October/November when it was so warm, think we have all been hurt by winter so much we don’t trust winter anymore, she has played with our emotions so much we push her away so we are not hurt again, we will never learn to trust again. ;)
 
It's too early for us to even really tell what the entirety of November is going to look like. Period. I had a quick look and there really isn't correlation between a cold November=cold rest of the winter. In fact I remember there was one year recently in which November had some dang cold stretches but it was very warm rest of the winter.

I didn't think October was even going to have some cooler stretches the way it started...it did.
 
Brent said:
actually could be worse, Denver hit 84 Wednesday, had a little snow Thursday, then was 13 yesterday morning
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Then they will be near 70 tomorrow and then near freezing on Monday with more frozen precip. Then back to the 60s on Wed.
 
Those big temp swings give me a headache. I think part of the reason I had a headache when I got out of bed this morning was because my body knows that it's going to really drop after today.

I honestly wouldn't mind it being comfortably warm for a while to be honest.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
Those big temp swings give me a headache. I think part of the reason I had a headache when I got out of bed this morning was because my body knows that it's going to really drop after today.

I honestly wouldn't mind it being comfortably warm for a while to be honest.
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I have to admit I'm looking forward to the warmup too(70s tomorrow and Monday)... we'll have plenty of time for winter hopefully later lol
 
every update on weather underground keeps upping those temps next week... will be 80s/60s forecast by tomorrow. Hell, let's go for a 70+ low in November. Might as well root for something in Tennessee. (it sure isn't going to be the Vols anytime soon).
 
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Usmeagle2005 said:
This just feels too much like last year. Remember saying it’s only October/November when it was so warm, think we have all been hurt by winter so much we don’t trust winter anymore, she has played with our emotions so much we push her away so we are not hurt again, we will never learn to trust again. ;)
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I’m really not understanding all the negativity about how warm it’s going to be. This year feels nothing like last year as we’ve already had multiple cold fronts that have dropped temps well below normal for a number of days. Today will be the second day in a row where my temp doesn’t get above 45 degrees. My average high is 66 and I’ve had plenty of days that were below that when the avg high was even higher. Heck I remember the cold front that came in during September and I barely got to 60 for a high. We live in the south and so we are going to have big swings from hot to cold and from cold to hot. I think we are all overacting to every warm front the models show because of how bad it was last winter.
 
It's above average, but November's early slate already looks like an improvement from early last year, and honestly is very close to what would be the perfect tranquil weather. I'll settle for it ending up around average and it's too early to tell if whether it will be or not.
 
Worry about 60s, 70s and 80s when it's D,J,F like last year! Who cares about them in November! :)
 
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