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Pattern November Knock-Out

Euro must have been a real pissah! :(
 
Tarheel1 said:
That's usually a prelude to an arctic outbreak, I'm all in! Ten days after thunder in fall/winter, we get snow! Just ask Brick!
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f9d35dd91efb739579ac882a235d75e4.jpg




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Didn't make the projected high even though it was sunny all day. I was surprised at how cool it felt even midafternoon.
 
Understanding that folks hate links and prefer graphics, unfortunately posting a 15 day ensemble with all the members would take up pages. So, here you go: link, load and scroll - the 12Z GFS ensemble isn't giving up on us SE folks (there's always tomorrow for dispair, but for now, still hanging tough) ... (PSU doen't have the 18Z) ...

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSTDEP2WIDE_12z/tloop.html

For example:

image.gif

and

D15.gif
 
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Tarheel1 said:
Don't tell TN Storm! He's on that warm train, and it's about to come off the track! GB is the conductor and engineer! :)
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your just to funny... lol... we will see.... i hope we have a great winter... whatever it is or going to be... going be a front loaded winter... next rosby wave to come through in the pacific. looks to boost this nina pretty good.... moderate nina looking more likely by january.... just being brutally honest.... hope for the best still
 
pcbjr said:
Understanding that folks hate links and prefer graphics, unfortunately posting a 15 day ensemble with all the members would take up pages. So, here you go: link, load and scroll - the 12Z GFS ensemble isn't giving up on us SE folks (there's always tomorrow for dispair, but for now, still hanging tough) ... (PSU doen't have the 18Z) ...

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSTDEP2WIDE_12z/tloop.html

For example:

image.gif

and

D15.gif
Click to expand...
All I see is lots of blue in the East and South! Keep em coming!!
 
The only bad thing about the 18z was that it warms up after a while, but it did so in fantasy land so maybe that isn't there in this run haha.
 
sooner or later one of these cold snaps will verify

the Thanksgiving idea does get credit for being fairly consistent

and its fairly close to my freeze prediction for Dallas ;)
 
If Thanksgiving verifies, it's one that got picked up fairly quickly and outside of a run or two stayed there.
 
Let the southern trend happen with this low pressure that has been showing up on the 23rd. It may turn out that there will be enough cold air to support winter weather for some.

(The GIF is the past 6 runs)
d036fe6ecfa942b72958d351143bb1ba.gif


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WeatherWatch said:
Let the southern trend happen with this low pressure that has been showing up on the 23rd. It may turn out that there will be enough cold air to support winter weather for some.

(The GIF is the past 6 runs)
d036fe6ecfa942b72958d351143bb1ba.gif


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Click to expand...
Yeah, this could get little interesting for a minor event for TN maybe north Bama. If the low trended south a bit with enough cold air, then something could happen. Thanksgiving miracle :weenie::weenie:
 
WeatherWatch said:
Let the southern trend happen with this low pressure that has been showing up on the 23rd. It may turn out that there will be enough cold air to support winter weather for some.

(The GIF is the past 6 runs)
d036fe6ecfa942b72958d351143bb1ba.gif


Sent from my SM-J327T1 using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
That's nothing more than a glorified cold front. The associated energy comes in way to far to the east and trough is way too for east as well. Maybe the mountains can squeeze a flake or two. Our time Will come next month
 
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Storm5 said:
That's nothing more than a glorified cold front. The associated energy comes in way to far to the east and trough is way too for east as well. Maybe the mountains can squeeze a flake or two. Our time Wil come next month
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THIS^^^


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Storm5 said:
That's nothing more than a glorified cold front. The associated energy comes in way to far to the east and trough is way too for east as well. Maybe the mountains can squeeze a flake or two. Our time Will come next month
Click to expand...
Yeah, its nothing like the older runs showed with some energy and cold following an initial cold snap. I am in agreement with you that we should see a better chance next month, and let's hope something doesn't screw it up!
 
Storm5 said:
That's nothing more than a glorified cold front. The associated energy comes in way to far to the east and trough is way too for east as well. Maybe the mountains can squeeze a flake or two. Our time Will come next month
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Negative Nancy! Some of our biggest snows come in March and November should have about the same sun angle! :)
 
Storm5 said:
That's nothing more than a glorified cold front. The associated energy comes in way to far to the east and trough is way too for east as well. Maybe the mountains can squeeze a flake or two. Our time Will come next year
Click to expand...
FYP! :)
 
Tarheel1 said:
Negative Nancy! Some of our biggest snows come in March and November should have about the same sun angle! :)
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November has a much lower sun angle than March and November is typically colder than March. Right now we have a sun angle equivalent to late January.
 
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