Drizzle Snizzle
Member
This is getting ridiculous.
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Pattern November 2023
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
HugeSnowStick
Member
The cold shot is a short-lived event, unfortunately.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Only takes one night to kill the skeeters!
W
WSW
Guest
Not really any warmth west of the Blue Ridge and north of Harrisonburg in Virginia after Monday. Mostly 50's, some days in the 40's and 3 or so around 60 to low 60's through mid-November. Atlanta doesn't look bad though, mostly 60's thru the period!
Close to climo for 1st freeze date for many.
Looking at the position of the HP and surface wind speeds, I would lean warmer than modeled on the 1st for most of the Southeast but colder than modeled on the 2nd.
Looking at the position of the HP and surface wind speeds, I would lean warmer than modeled on the 1st for most of the Southeast but colder than modeled on the 2nd.
Brent
Member
That would be a heck of a way to start November
Also not completely ruling out some rogue flakes or pellets on Sunday
Also not completely ruling out some rogue flakes or pellets on Sunday
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I will be shocked if there is a freeze at the Atlanta airport.
You’re probably right. If there is that means most surrounding locations will be down into the upper 20s and I don’t see that happening
tennessee storm
Member
Meanwhile in Memphis tn nearly 10 clock on almost early November night. Currently 75 degrees outside .
Brent
Member
We were 73 at 9am this morning. Already a distant memory and this ain't even the main event yet ?
Possibly a 50 degree drop ahead
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Talk about a slow moving cold front. Cold air has already arrived in Tulsa and it will take 3+ days to make it to Atlanta.
Itryatgolf
Member
Strong se ridge
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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GFS
W
WSW
Guest
Only 16 days out. 
NoSnowATL
Member
NoSnowATL
Member
Finally made it over the Cumberlands.
Brent
Member
Very cold start to November but also the dry pattern is returning ? 70s possible next weekend!
tractor girl
Member
Slight chance of rain going into next week, dry as a bone before and after. South GA/AL may see little to no rain from this.
NoSnowATL
Member
Drought breeds drought. Its real.
Isn't it amazing that the last 2 years of LA Nina acted much like an EL Nino & appears that at least the beginning of this EL Nino is doing the same.
It was so wet imby the last 2 years up till mid May.
Mby was like walking on a wet sponge the vast majority of that timeframe.
Since mid June mby has been like concrete.
Just goes to show there's many drivers to sensible weather...
We need rain...
Good news is we are done with the driest months of the year.
Sept & Oct.
????
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Long range ensembles support more precipitation toward mid-month.
Itryatgolf
Member
It's all about pattern recognition and we are supposedly in el niño but acting like la niña currently or maybe even both at same time?
JHS
Member
It is gone on the 12z GFS.
tractor girl
Member
You can see the STJ really starting to ramp up on the models. The thing that hurts is we keep dropping these big EC troughs with pwats like 10% of normal then going into blocking SERs forcing the best dynamics west and north. It's hard to win in that cycle regardless of enso state
Pacific jet going into overdrive next week, and looks strong/zonal. I’d bet on some sort of rain and some sort of higher impact weather system (severe ?) for the SE. 
HugeSnowStick
Member
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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First flurries of the season!
Looks like 31.3 for the low here.
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Tech airport had flurries too looks like
NoSnowATL
Member
New run same result. Still looks dry going into Thanksgiving.
W
WSW
Guest
Still in the teens in parts of WV, VA, NC,TN this morning. Bring it on!
low of 30.6 imby, first freeze of the season.
D-Ray
Member
29 this morning
NWMSGuy
Member
Starting to wonder if someone will see Severe Weather the week of the 12th?
I think this will start to switch around some in further runs. Both the GEFS and EPS really start to get the Pacific jet going by the end of next week and the GEFS is showing some pretty good widespread precipitation means by the end of its run for the entire southeast.New run same result. Still looks dry going into Thanksgiving.
Itryatgolf
Member
25 here in the jackson area earlier. Euro was off by 5 degrees so gfs was more correct this time. Actually, it was 24 degrees here
Last edited:
Overnight eps shows a transition into a very nino like pattern by D16
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41 degrees at the hospital helipad at noon.