Why don't you fire up the Dec thread with this post?
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Pattern November 2022
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
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1.48, over performer this morning
43° with light drizzle in Blowing Rock this morning. Maybe a trace of precip.
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
This deal next week is looking very concerning.
Gefs slowly trending to dropping that low and it’s energy around the Aleutian Islands is pretty ideal 
Agreed… and enough cold air and snow cover is building up in Canada where it won’t take a real tall western coast ridge to tap into it
bigstick10
Member
Pretty clever writing from KATL
Locally, the strong southerly jet ahead of the dominant low-pressure
system should provide enough lift to form some scattered light
showers ahead of the main storm system from late afternoon through
midnight. Just after midnight, an unorganized wave (or possibly
multiple waves) of storms is expected to push into the forecast area
out of Alabama. There will be enough lift from the low- and mid-
level jet for some isolated to scattered thunderstorms to form, and
while storms are expected to generally be weak with minimal upper-
level instability available, momentum transfer from a 40-50kt jet at
850hPa is a concern. The airmass in the lower kilometer will be
stable, but not by much, and therefore any water-loaded downdrafts
will have potential for strong winds gusts to occur. Even outside of
the storms, wind gusts could be up to 20-30 mph given the strong low-
level jet near the ground so be sure to secure any holiday
decorations that may be out, as inflatable Santas may take flight
tonight, which would be about a month earlier than expected.
Locally, the strong southerly jet ahead of the dominant low-pressure
system should provide enough lift to form some scattered light
showers ahead of the main storm system from late afternoon through
midnight. Just after midnight, an unorganized wave (or possibly
multiple waves) of storms is expected to push into the forecast area
out of Alabama. There will be enough lift from the low- and mid-
level jet for some isolated to scattered thunderstorms to form, and
while storms are expected to generally be weak with minimal upper-
level instability available, momentum transfer from a 40-50kt jet at
850hPa is a concern. The airmass in the lower kilometer will be
stable, but not by much, and therefore any water-loaded downdrafts
will have potential for strong winds gusts to occur. Even outside of
the storms, wind gusts could be up to 20-30 mph given the strong low-
level jet near the ground so be sure to secure any holiday
decorations that may be out, as inflatable Santas may take flight
tonight, which would be about a month earlier than expected.
Brent
Member
Much needed rain here... Hopefully we can at least keep the moisture train going if nothing else
Brick Tamland
Member
Wednesday night WRAL said it was going to rain all weekend here.
Scarlet Oaks finally decided to change around here.
3.12” last night. Finally over performed.
Nice! 3.1” here.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
3.02" here and also an overperformer. Pretty good amount so hopefully that dents the drought here a bit.
Losing our medium range warmup. likely a result of models catching on to stronger blocking and cold low level air oozing down from the TPV and it’s energy
WOOOOMP
There's some members in the Dec thread that need to see this
Done ?There's some members in the Dec thread that need to see this
We're going to close this month out with just over 5"(close to 3" in the last week) IMBY.
iGRXY
Member
Solid 2.25" overnight and this morning. SO much for that drought here now.
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