I think most knew that but as usual someone jumped the gun on starting a thread, let’s hope that doesn’t happen again this winter.
I am surprised to seeing sun poking out this morning.
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Wintry Nov 16 wintry weather threat
- Thread starter Brick Tamland
- Start date
I am surprised to seeing sun poking out this morning.
Sun poking through here at Triangle Towne Center.
Brick Tamland
Member
Yes, because the thread itself is what decided what happens, and it is so critical if there is a thread about something that doesn't pan out.
Uh, what? Since when does creating a thread determine a storm happening or not?
You said it....it is so critical if there is a thread about something that doesn't pan out.
Lickwx
Member
Oh this is hilarious , we weren’t forecast out of the low 40s today and we are about 50 now ! This on top of the NAM ice snow crap lol! New and all to this forum so not that familiar with brick but damn has brick really tainted my faith in his credibility on these matters lol.
It would be nice if the board had a criteria to meet before making a topic post.
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Downeastnc
Member
Buoys offshore ramping up gusting into the low 50's it will be interesting if we see then get to the higher modeled wind speeds with lots of models in the 60-80 mph range in gust.....
Yeah it's kinda silly to make a new thread for every time there's even the slightest chance of a flurry or sleet pellet.
I always think it's funny how people openly talk about a forum, how its run or what should be done or this and that are silly. Haha don't like the program change the channel or start your own.
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Jimmy Hypocracy
Member
Myfrotho704_
Member
This “threat” choked
Brick Tamland
Member
It doesn't. That's my point. I was being sarcastic.
If y'all want to delete this thread, fine by me. I just don't get why folks get so serious about a thread being started. I just won't start anymore. There are bigger things to worry about.
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Why not just rename it to nor’easter with all the flooding and winds down east
Downeastnc
Member
Well do we toss this ob....most other buoys including this one are averaging gust to 60.....
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41037
Wind Direction (WDIR):NE ( 40 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD):36.9 kts
Wind Gust (GST):116.6 kts
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41037
Wind Direction (WDIR):NE ( 40 deg true )Wind Speed (WSPD):36.9 kts
Wind Gust (GST):116.6 kts
Wow I'm back to winter mode to see Brick being hammered to death for starting a thread. I'm a winter time user of the board and think the relentless hammering is a bit much. I've seen thread that didn't pan out before but to be so mean. WoW
CyclonicFury
Member
What a horrible bust from the NAM. It was about 10 degrees too cold.
Ok, enough Brick bashing. Didn't we talk about not berating other posters? We better get all these kinks out before legit winter gets here.
I'm going to leave the thread open because there is a coastal low with rain, wind, and flooding. If other staff wants to overrule me, that's fine.
But I think we're going to ask folks from now on that if you start a thread, you should provide some sound meteorological rationale regarding the topic at hand. I can't speak for the rest of the staff, but if I see a thread pop up with some silly clown map or 10 day + cold pattern plot and no solid analysis or good weather discussion, I'm going to delete it.
Lastly, I know that some posters get on each other's nerves. Just avoid talking to them or about them (and that means the passive-aggressive stuff too). Ignore them or scroll past their posts. If you disagree with something and you want to discuss it, that's fine. But let's don't turn these threads or the board into a bash-fest.
I'm going to leave the thread open because there is a coastal low with rain, wind, and flooding. If other staff wants to overrule me, that's fine.
But I think we're going to ask folks from now on that if you start a thread, you should provide some sound meteorological rationale regarding the topic at hand. I can't speak for the rest of the staff, but if I see a thread pop up with some silly clown map or 10 day + cold pattern plot and no solid analysis or good weather discussion, I'm going to delete it.
Lastly, I know that some posters get on each other's nerves. Just avoid talking to them or about them (and that means the passive-aggressive stuff too). Ignore them or scroll past their posts. If you disagree with something and you want to discuss it, that's fine. But let's don't turn these threads or the board into a bash-fest.
Everyone just a couple of housekeeping notes before winter. #1 let's stop the when to start a thread and when not to conversation in this thread. If you want to discuss that take it to whamby. #2 it doesn't matter who starts a thread the results are going to be what they are. #3 adding to that if it fails its not the thread starters fault no need for attacks or comments in that direction. #4 I personally have no issue with starting threads if the threat is legit even if it's for flurries in a few locations, it makes it easier to find at a later date. That being said let's not go crazy and start something any time the models show a little blue over the area. #5 if you start a thread give a decent reason, showing 1 model showing something that isn't realistic will get threads locked in the future. #6 as I said yesterday I do not believe in locking threads unless its necessary, lets keep ourselves mature and professional enough so that we don't have to go that route.
I am more than willing to discuss any of these points in whamby before winter starts but once winter starts we will roll out our guidelines for starting winter threads. In other words if you have an opinion and this matters to you please provide input.
Thanks
I am more than willing to discuss any of these points in whamby before winter starts but once winter starts we will roll out our guidelines for starting winter threads. In other words if you have an opinion and this matters to you please provide input.
Thanks
Dang we were thinking the same thing at the same time
Brick Tamland
Member
Oh, I didn't know we had to be allowed to start a thread. I didn't realize it was such a big deal.
Oh, that's right, it isn't.
Downeastnc
Member
The more things change the more they stay the same.............
Pushing 35-45 in gust here now, really shaking the house and much more frequent, the low is really starting to crank....
What model you you find most accurate when it comes to wind speed progs? And what do you expect to see at your location later?
Downeastnc
Member
Usually the GFS is the most "grounded" and typically is closest followed by Euro.....all the models except the GFS had me hitting 50+ and they are barely doing that at the coast at this time so unless it really ramps up 40-45 ought to be the best we see here....things should peak between 9-12 then taper off.....officially at PGV the max is 36 for now....
Thanks. It's been blustery here, but nothing over 35, in terms of gusts, I'd say.
LovingGulfLows
Member
IMO, the GFS won with this storm. NAM did some wonky stuff with the low a couple of days ago and had it farther north. GFS always kept it further south along the coast. It even got the ULL precip over Alabama and into Southern GA right. Surprised tbh.
Do like me read more and post less. Some have been doing this for years and just times up to many pages. We all get excited over wintry weather. I agree some comments are to harsh for a free forum but also this isn't the first time someone has made a thread with one model run. Never was a threat if it was some met would have picked up on it. Who cares who starts a thread as long as it's a legitimate threat. Please don't turn this forum into the other forum that most came from. As a contractor I appreciate those who know how to read models and study weather. I use those that have knowledgeable quotes to help us with our winter storm preparations.