I mean, another Nov 1950 is always possible. Now that's memorable.
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Pattern Nippy November
- Thread starter jackendrickwx
- Start date
Forevertothee
Member
Do tell...
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Bottomed out at 19.6 this morning, made for an invigorating run
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Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
Down to 25 around midnight, clouds rolled in and up to 32 now
NoSnowATL
Member
No we need that warm spell to start showing up if all the predictions are correct. 3-4 week of warmth then BOOM in January. I’m all in baby!
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Hasn't the EPS/ECMWF had a warm bias lately? Thought I heard some of y'all talking bout that.
Well lookee here
SnowNiner
Member
Well...I still think we're too early in on the season to know if the winter's going to be any good or not. But I really like that the -NAO is trying to show up and hang around this month. That in and of itself is different than last year around this time. I wonder if it'll do it when it really matters though in the next few months. I really like what I see below on the new GEFS. -NAO, western ridge, PV trapped to SE Canada, and a split flow.
The problem is right after this, it wants to shift the trough out west again....like last winter. I'll be looking in the next few weeks to see if that materializes or not. Does the below even come about? We'll see. Even if it does, do we keep the eastern trough afterward, or do we get ridgy again in the east going into December? If we can see the blocky/eastern trough pattern persist into December I'll feel pretty good about the upcoming winter. It seems that winter patterns wash rinse and repeat.
The problem is right after this, it wants to shift the trough out west again....like last winter. I'll be looking in the next few weeks to see if that materializes or not. Does the below even come about? We'll see. Even if it does, do we keep the eastern trough afterward, or do we get ridgy again in the east going into December? If we can see the blocky/eastern trough pattern persist into December I'll feel pretty good about the upcoming winter. It seems that winter patterns wash rinse and repeat.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I really think we are in good shape right now. When is the last time we have been this cold in November? We already had one winter storm threat the first half of this month. I didn't see anything here, but some folks in the SE have already seen snow. I think it's all setting up nicely for a good winter with plenty of winter storm chances. The rest of this month looks cold to seasonable at most. Even if we warm up in December, there is still plenty of time for the pendulum to swing back for January and February, when we usually have the best chance for winter storms anyway.
Yeah a little flip from earlier runs but nothing too bad and it's out there so hopefully a hiccup and not a trend. Plus I'm not ready for these frigid temps, already I'm ready for a break Lol
What did 0z EPS show?
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@Brent is in good shape!
Trough west and zonal everywhere else, y’all better get that woodpile going
Black Friday shopping attire:shorts and flip flops!
Cmon man its hour 366.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
That's two weeks away. It's almost like you intentionally seek out the worst possible scenario. And even if that did happen, we're still talking about the end of November. It could be freezing cold like yesterday and today just a week later.
12 NAM for Saturday night.......:
