Pattern Nippy November

[pcbjr]

I defer to others, but am respectfully suggesting ... it's not time to buy another cord ... just yet ...

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

All the NAMs have zero frozen precip for the Thursday event, and actually start mostly on Friday. Was fun

NWS just put rain and snow in my forecast for Thursday night with a low of 33... interesting. Didn't think it would be that cold.

 

[accu35]

could this happen?

 

[deltadog03]

could this happen?

I really dont think so but I guess its very possible... There will be a very dry airmass in place.

 

[WxWatch]

could this happen?

No, the upper level will not support snow. I do think there will be sleet mixing in with the rain though in that area with no accumulations.

 

[Jessy89]

I think a little mix to rain is possible late in the day Thursday for a lot of people. Not sure there be any accumulation though. It be brief


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[deltadog03]

hmmmm....a cold dry airmass.....before precip

 

[deltadog03]

No, the upper level will not support snow. I do think there will be sleet mixing in with the rain though in that area with no accumulations.

def. no snow for sure, I agree, but I could see some sleet, **if that is right** if temps can cool enough, maybe a little ZR on elevated surfaces briefly.

 

[accu35]

def. no snow for sure, I agree, but I could see some sleet, **if that is right** if temps can cool enough, maybe a little ZR on elevated surfaces briefly.

The Nam has done well painting the colors in south Texas yesterday. They have a good bit of sleet

 

[WxWatch]

hmmmm....a cold dry airmass.....before precip

View attachment 25897

There's def. going to be sleet mixed in with the rain. I also think there's going to be some serious dynamic cooling. Some may actually be in for a surprise.

 

[accu35]

There's def. going to be sleet mixed in with the rain. I also think there's going to be some serious dynamic cooling. Some may actually be in for a surprise.

November around 2 lol. Ready for winter

 

[accu35]

Nam 3km starting to bitting lol. FWIW

 

[WxWatch]

Taking a look at the 3KM 0Z NAM, as the disturbance pushes off to the east, the 850mb temps come down a bit on the back side. Some across AL may see some flurries/snow showers late Thursday evening/Fri AM if the moisture is still around. We'll need to watch this carefully.

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[accu35]

Hello mr blue lol

 

[accu35]

Seems like 0z models so far has it coming little more NW. Honestly, if this can speed up just by a few hours then alot on here will see something

 

[accu35]

This could get interesting

 

[Ollie Williams]

This could get interesting

Unless It’s snow or major ZR, I could care less about this system even with non-rain p-types over mby. IMO, rain falling with .001 inches of ice is not that exciting. Nice setup for January though. Onto the next storm.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Gfs is also continuous showing below average temps and wetter with cutoffs. Hope this is a sign of things to come?

 

[Ollie Williams]

Unless It’s snow or major ZR, I could care less about this system even with non-rain p-types over mby. IMO, rain falling with .001 inches of ice is not that exciting. Nice setup for January though. Onto the next storm.

Though I do find it Ironic that the GFS has the exact opposite problem for another setup around hr 160. Less CAD, better look at H5. Unless we are seeing substantial model snow, I’m not holding my breath until maybe December.

 

[GaWx]

Folks are going to love, love, love the 0Z GEFS, which simply asks, “What warmup?”