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Pattern Nippy November

I am really disappointed in the fog forecast for this morning. RAH built it up like we were going to get some really bad fog. We need an undense fog advisory. In downtown Raleigh, visibility is at least 2-3 miles.
 
Looks like Sebastian will be short lived. Dry air to the west and some severe wind shear to the north of the center. Wonder how it will effect the big scheme of things. Perhaps Eric could chime in.


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Dang, look at how much colder is the 12Z GEFS days 9-16 vs recent runs. Many folks will likely like.
 
So to be specific, what do you guys think about Thanksgiving day? Different solutions from the major models. GFS would have a week CAD setup that would get central NC northwards into cooler air. Folks south of that would be "soupy". Canadian and euro (from last night) would be cooler with a nice cold frontal passage.
 
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