Getting intriguing if those NAM totals verify If 0.10-0.15 an inch falls plus whatever freezing drizzle falls, that's big time problems with how cold it's been.
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Wintry New Years Eve Light Wintry Mix The Anti ARCC/Xtreme Weather System
- Thread starter Storm5
- Start date
Xtreme Weather
Member
0Z RGEM expanding QPF field early on in the run
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Based off of the NAM, I'm interested to see how tomorrow afternoon through night is going to turn out.
Yeah, I'm in one of the higher QPF areas of GA per the NAM, so I'll say if I see anything. Could be any form of precip at this time. Looks like sleet and snow possibly., but I expect some sleet over snow.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
The NAM did well with early December, especially when it got into range so it has me intrigued even if it's not snow. May wake up to a New Year's glaze.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I kind of expected this to happen. The models will all start showing what the NAM is. All hail King NAM LOL.
Psalm 148:8
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If it nails this storm it will be King NAM!!! What an oxymoron
Parker
Member
There have just been to many times where models have underestimated how much QPF jogs north. It doesn’t matter what time of year it is, there are always a few systems that I end up waking up to and seeing that’s it’s raining when it wasn’t even supposed to. It won’t take much freezing rain at all to cause any issues.
It always seems that the slower it falls, the better it accumulates. Can’t wait to see how this plays out, and I hope it’s a surprise for many.
It always seems that the slower it falls, the better it accumulates. Can’t wait to see how this plays out, and I hope it’s a surprise for many.
Storm5
Member
Yeah rgem completely trended towards the nam the last three runs
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Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Possibility % of Ice Storm warning being issued??
Xtreme Weather
Member
Last edited:
Catfish
Member
I remember a scenario of freezing drizzle hitting unexpectedly on the north side of ATL during an afternoon rush. I remember not being well forecasted and catching lots of folks unprepared north of town. It was cold and dry when I left work east of ATL but right when I got close to Marietta it got below freezing and was drizzling. I fish-tailed on an overpass but no one was around and I managed not to wreck.
https://www.weather.gov/ffc/20101215_ice_event
https://www.weather.gov/ffc/20101215_ice_event
Storm5
Member
Brent
Member
All hail the nam and rgem lol
Catfish
Member
Not for this event. Criteria for such is half of inch of ice. Usually for expected high volume power outages and massive effects.
However just a glaze or trace from freezing rain or drizzle can cause travel issues especially if unexpected.
https://www.weather.gov/ffc/20101215_ice_event
Storm5
Member
Well the gfs says no chance so one of these is gonna bust horribly
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Storm5
Member
It wasn’t but a few days ago the gfs was printing this ....... sad
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Brent
Member
GFS is such an awful model lol
has Dallas above freezing til tomorrow afternoon, uh its already freezing in the northern suburbs
that said I'll still believe it when I see it on a lot of precip
has Dallas above freezing til tomorrow afternoon, uh its already freezing in the northern suburbs
that said I'll still believe it when I see it on a lot of precip
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Lol you had me intrigued enough to click on the analysis button to look at what it says my temp is and it says 46....yeah uh no. I came home late today and my car thermometer said 41 and my NWS reading is 36 at the moment.
So only a cool 10 degrees off.