Naughty November

[jackendrickwx]

Wow lol the southern jet on the Euro control is absurd... How many times have you seen a 150 kt jet streak over the Gulf coast in winter?

Verbatim it's actually showing a big time severe weather outbreak w/ another low cutting up to the Great Lakes.

View attachment 52941

View attachment 52940

Lets get that but with CMC temps

 

[Webberweather53]

I think that the aspect that we're going to need to work towards is the 50/50 low, if we get that, we're golden!

Yeah we are golden if we let that day 9-10 trough hang on a little longer over SE Canada & this wave comes out into that massive cold air mass.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

2018...had an EF2 tornado hit my neighborhood and major winter storm within like 3ish weeks of each other. Similar pattern.

 

[Webberweather53]

EPS mean highs to kickoff meteorological (Dec-Feb) winter.





The coldest members have below freezing highs in Atlanta while the warmest members are basically average

 

[Webberweather53]

Wow the day 11 EPS mean has mid 20s for lows in Atlanta & Greenville-Spartanburg. That's nuts

 

[Webberweather53]

Got a few wintry members on the LR EPS, mainly for TN & AR

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Got a few wintry members on the LR EPS, mainly for TN & AR

View attachment 52947


View attachment 52948

Bet the streak. 2018, 2019, 2020?

stay tuned

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This severe weather threat is slowly becoming more and more concerning since most models actually show it

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Soundings reveal this is pretty much your classic fall high shear low cape setup with low topped convection

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Uhhh 12z gfsv2 actually have us a mid Atlantic snow storm

 

[Tarheel1]

SE flizzard on CMC lol View attachment 52887View attachment 52888

We have a winner!?

 

[jackendrickwx]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

View attachment 52965

Yeah that’s not to encouraging

 

[accu35]

View attachment 52965

Stating to see some support

 

[jackendrickwx]

Stating to see some support

For the mountains I guess

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Stating to see some support

For Pittsburgh and Cleveland yes.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’m surprised this is not being talked about more but the euro/cmc/gfs basically all have severe looks right now, with the gfs likely being the fastest due to its progressive bias, these looks support a nasty low topped QLCS with huge amounts of low level shear, this is getting into D7 and this also has a strong STJ injected in this to boot, don’t sleep on this

 

[Ollie Williams]

The Icon looks really interesting, the trough gets in front of the s/w in the SW.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The Icon looks really interesting, the trough gets in front of the s/w in the SW.View attachment 52979

KMA did the same at 12z

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Well icon is actually better than the KMA but