tennessee storm
Member
Yeah. Unreal.
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Naughty November
- Thread starter LickWx
- Start date
Euro/GFS in good agreement on weekend warmup and Monday fropa. Enjoy the nice weather everyone!
SimeonNC
Member
Last time I checked the station before sunrise it was at 40.1 , it might have gotten lower or not.
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
All the way down to 34.1 IMBY this am; noice!
gawxnative
Member
And SPC progs very low if any chance of Severe.. So looking pretty good so far
Crap 
tennessee storm
Member
If euro is believed last nite run day ten that trough coming down is negative titled . That’s going be watched for severe . Be post turkey day. Ways out course
Nice look to the indices in the LR:
PNA - Looks to go positive
NAO - Looks to go negative
AO - Looks to go negative.
PNA - Looks to go positive
NAO - Looks to go negative
AO - Looks to go negative.
tennessee storm
Member
Be a temporary window for that in mid December to mid January ... not seeing a prolong negative nao nor ao. But we can take what we get in that 30 day frame I mentioned
time for king euro to save us ! Not 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Also Gefs is actually been increasing CAD/strength of the parent high the last few runs, trough in SE Canada ticking S a bit each run
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
If this were all to play out absolutely perfectly for winter wx it would be more of a freezing rain/sleet event right?
NCSNOW
Member
Need a -EPO this year. Beleive 2013 was a la Nina and the EPO went/stayed negative and turned it in to a decent winter,. Seems like we had several icy events Feb into march that year if My memory is correct. The most important signal for us imo is the EPO this year considering the backdrop pattern we have.
tennessee storm
Member
Agree. Negative epo can trump a strong. Niña
smast16
Member
Haven't been on the Board since Friday, and I just got caught up. From that run on Friday i said to myself "I can't wait to see how this implodes..."
Wasn't disappointed. ? ?
Wasn't disappointed. ? ?
Sad. WPC had a Moderate Risk out for Wilkes north. These type of outlooks rarely get posted on social media unless it’s for severe weather. And it doesn’t help when local news stations issue their own risk/color/level. It’s confusing.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This is really not a trend you wanna see on the Euro if you were like me and hoping the pattern would break in our favor to deliver some cold air in late November. Weaker, poleward, more transient cyclonic wave break in the N Pacific storm track >>> shorter-lived -EPO and less time for the TPV over the Baffin Bay to slide southward >>> we remain warm.
Sigh
Sigh
I have been burned 