Naughty November

[Webberweather53]

We've definitely seen favorable trends for our first freeze of the season by the middle of this coming week




EPS is explicitly forecasting one for most of central and eastern NC






The coldest members bring freezing temps down to the I-20 corridor, including the midlands of SC. Certainly can't be ruled out

 

[olhausen]

If Dec 2018 is unlocking 3 95 overall players on madden, Dec 1886 is like having every player on your team with a 100 rating and Belicheck is the coach

1886-87 fwiw is a La Nina too

26" in Greenville, SC & 18"+ in Atlanta. How lol

View attachment 52294

Talk about a board wide event!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

What a sunset this evening

 

[SETNwx]

One of the rare times the airport temp is colder than most of the rest of the metro.. 46 at the airport, 49 in Red Bank, 51 Downtown.

 

[J.C.]

One of the rare times the airport temp is colder than most of the rest of the metro.. 46 at the airport, 49 in Red Bank, 51 Downtown.

Is it in a valley?

 

[SETNwx]

Is it in a valley?

Yeah, but I've observed this station since 1989.. it doesn't radiationally cool like other places.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Is this The phase where we say toss it it’s a bad run ?

 

[SETNwx]

You can see the cold slow descend from Canada even though the teleconnections aren't too pretty. I call this look Zonal Chili:

 

[SETNwx]

GOA low ruins everything:

 

[Webberweather53]

Is this The phase where we say toss it it’s a bad run ? View attachment 52363

Lol the crazy uncle getting crazy yet again

 

[SETNwx]

Tell me this is not weird... CHA hourly report. The dewpoint dropped 5 degrees and the air temp rose 3. No change in wind:

15	23:53​	NW 7	10.00	Fair​	CLR	47	31			54%	44	NA	30.23	1023.4
15	22:53​	NW 7	10.00	Fair​	CLR	47	31			54%	44	NA	30.21	1023.0
15	21:53​	NW 5	10.00	Fair​	CLR	49	30			48%	47	NA	30.19	1022.2
15	20:53​	NW 5	10.00	Fair​	CLR	46	35			66%	44	NA	30.17	1021.5

 

[J.C.]

Tell me this is not weird... CHA hourly report. The dewpoint dropped 5 degrees and the air temp rose 3. No change in wind:

15	23:53​	NW 7	10.00	Fair​	CLR	47	31			54%	44	NA	30.23	1023.4
15	22:53​	NW 7	10.00	Fair​	CLR	47	31			54%	44	NA	30.21	1023.0
15	21:53​	NW 5	10.00	Fair​	CLR	49	30			48%	47	NA	30.19	1022.2
15	20:53​	NW 5	10.00	Fair​	CLR	46	35			66%	44	NA	30.17	1021.5

it’s been doing the same thing here. I’ve been at 48-49 for the past few hours.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This might get interesting ?

 

[SETNwx]

Mo' ridging in the West, little by little.. let them have their beast of a Fall, if The East can reel in a 6 week dream Winter:

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Damn it it’s moisture starved since the wave dies, that’s the closest run to a winter storm I’ve seen so far for this time frame

 

[Webberweather53]

Damn it it’s moisture starved since the wave dies, that’s the closest run to a winter storm I’ve seen so far for this time frame View attachment 52372View attachment 52373View attachment 52374

But hey at least the pattern is there, can't ask for a whole lot more atm!

 

[Webberweather53]

Pretty easy to see there's a ton of uncertainty in the 0z EPS here, forecasting near-normal height anomalies across the board in the CONUS = lots of inter-member spread.

 

[Webberweather53]

Maybe we'll get lucky here




GEFS seems to support this idea

 

[Webberweather53]

Smfh

 

[jackendrickwx]

41 here this morning, neighboring station reports 37