Uh all I see is some members with ZR (which there always aggressive with) and a few with snow, last run was much better, we’re most likely not getting wintry precip with this CAD setup but cold rain instead, especially given lack of snowpack. lol
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Last run (12z below) had 1 ensemble member with CAD
at the same time ... not saying it’ll do anything but it’s certainly something to watch ??
No. last run was colder/snowierLast run had 1 ensemble member with CADView attachment 78369 at the same time ... not saying it’ll do anything but it’s certainly something to watch ??
The chance of any wintry precip outside perhaps the foothills/mountains is extremely low, current snowpack across the N US is very poor, with barely any expected snow the next 4 days, this alone is a big red flag for a deeper cold CAD, not to mention its mid March when models show this
Oh and those areas have AN temps the next 3-4 days
Oh and those areas have AN temps the next 3-4 days
Why is WXbell so different from college dupage??? It had little to nothing at the exact time .. are those the v16 ensembles?
If I’m not mistaken dupage has the older version while wxbell has the new GEFS
Interesting the new GEFS was more gung hoe last run and the old GEFS more amped about it this run .. my head is spinning .. what did the new ones look like for precip type
Nope, same version. The older version doesn't run, COD just never got the memo that there was an upgrade to 30 members. They also skip over the first one. I've compared them fairly accurately before, but this one is just weird.
Yeah I’m confused rn lol
Gefs is warmer and that applies to after this as well 
FYP
How was your 5 PM basketball game out in this near ideal weather? I was just outside for awhile and loved it expect for the sand gnats coming out late.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Windshield wiper
SWVAwxfan
Member
May I suggest central Florida. Rarely gets cold, especially cold rain. And it's the lightning capital of the US.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
are the mosquitoes out there yet ?
Ended up going but not for long, My shot was on point today
Let’s windshield wipe into summer mode
here was the sunset 
Enough for a crazy uncle run for 00z maybe ?
I think they're just getting going. 'tis the season. I enjoyed the 4 month break and look forward to the next one. I really appreciate the lack of flying bugs!
Yeah a lot of snpwpack that is less than 6 inches is gonna get obliterated by the next three days of mild temps up in the interior NE. I will be spending the next two weeks preparing to move to Florida. April 2nd is the target date for when I plan to move.
LickWx
Member
Yeah models will correct warmer once they realize that . Bit of lag there . Let’s bring the high 70s up to eastern shore of Maryland before you leave ! Besides pretty sure even your area just about touches 80 on average in March , or comes close to it.
18z EPS = stronger SE can vortex ?
If the wedge front speeds up any more we are going to lose Friday. Nam has it south of Columbia 12z Saturday
You sure...this is getting too close for comfort
What a change 
This is horrible lol. These run to run day to day swings are crazy
Sunday is that day where it can go either way , I lean wudged tho 
These models are so ass I question myself why I try solving the LR sometimes 
Sunday.... 
Pretty awesome trend away from wedging
GFS is torch and CAD, nothing below freezing yet thru day 9
That arctic air that was appearing on models is basically gone now 
No surprise, went from a -EPO a few days ago to this hunk of garbage, pacific dump, that’s why there’s basically no extreme cold shown on models anymore
Still some interest on the GEFS just enough to be worried about stronger than modeled CAD .. it looks at the very least like another significant cold rain event for many
Wow. 
