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Pattern Muddy March 2021

SD said:
Yep. Hopefully we can avoid the wudges as much as possible bc the upcoming 2 weeks is going to try to lock them in
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Wudges start creating wedges along there boundaries this time of the year to, if we indeed do get severe, then a CAD boundary would be bad news
 
Gonna have to watch how far south that trough near Labrador gets around mid-month. Don't want it to screw up our warm-up and give us CAD, of course it could also make our severe worse depending on this wave in the four corners.

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Webberweather53 said:
Gonna have to watch how far south that trough near Labrador gets around mid-month. Don't want it to screw up our warm-up and give us CAD, of course it could also make our severe worse depending on this wave in the four corners.

View attachment 77675
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Looks like last April lol, other then a trough digging in/diving from GOA
 
Damn SER getting it’s ass whooped long range Gfs and CMC ... hey the warm up will be another nice couple days .. good enough for some pickle ball ? then we’re back to flizzard tracking
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Could you explain the implications here?
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Indian Ocean MJO in March-April favors below average temperatures here, and both the EPS & CFS are forecasting a strong MJO to reach the Indian Ocean near the end of March, it's something we'll have to watch in the coming week or two to see what effect it'll have on our pattern following the warm-up near mid month.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Indian Ocean MJO in March-April favors below average temperatures here, and both the EPS & CFS are forecasting a strong MJO to reach the Indian Ocean near the end of March, it's something we'll have to watch in the coming week or two to see what effect it'll have on our pattern following the warm-up near mid month.
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Didn’t we have that same forcing last April-May which also lead to active severe weather with quick warm sector setups ? I remember Easter Sunday would have been a winter storm if it was 4 months earlier with that SE Canada vortex
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Didn’t we have that same forcing last April-May which also lead to active severe weather with quick warm sector setups ? I remember Easter Sunday would have been a winter storm if it was 4 months earlier with that SE Canada vortex
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Yep, we did but by the time you get into May, especially mid-late month the response is totally different (-PNA) because the SW monsoon over southern Eurasia is fixing to come on and the wavelengths are a lot shorter.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Yep, we did but by the time you get into May, especially mid-late month the response is totally different (-PNA) because the SW monsoon over southern Eurasia is fixing to come on and the wavelengths are a lot shorter.
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May 2019 is a good example if I’m not mistaken of that
 
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