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Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
GSP going with high 70s for most of the (non elevation) CWA on Friday, certainly on the higher end of guidance.
GSP going with high 70s for most of the (non elevation) CWA on Friday, certainly on the higher end of guidance.
Going higher than the consensus of model guidance on most non-wedge days in almost all locations is usually going to get the forecaster much closer to what verifies because the cold bias of consensus has been so obvious day after day after day, especially when there is no wedge.
Ignoring the always way too cold CMC ens, the Euro ens has for quite awhile had the worst cold bias.
Holy ---- 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
In a dust storm here
Welp, the 5% tornado risk area is gone in the latest update, lol.
Gotta smell the dust, to see the snow
Tomorrows forecast is kind of tough. Get enough clouds and east flow and we are stuck in the 50s, get the sun out and we are 10-15 degrees warmer
Well that’s awesome. AK vortex starting to show up on the OP euro , I know I say I want a torch but if that digs some way that could really cook us 
LickWx
Member
That map has you bang on average though , so that won’t be too bad at least !
Good point and thanks for the encouragement. I was looking more generally for the SE rather than just MBY. Regarding MBY, when cold bias is figured in, I'd have to add some degrees to this, unfortunately thus putting me AN.
?
LickWx
Member
Well bright side , assuming you have had the same pattern as me . March so far is average while the last 3 months have been below average , so we had a good run . If anything should encourage you to get ready for the next below normal run of weather !Good point and thanks for the encouragement. I was looking more generally for the SE rather than just MBY. Regarding MBY, when cold bias is figured in, I'd have to add some degrees to this, unfortunately thus putting me AN.
Might be a few years lol
NH ridge lol 
LickWx
Member
Is that a -NAO ? Bro , I don’t like to see positive heights centered in Greenland !