Pattern Muddy March 2021

[GaWx]

are the mosquitoes out there yet ?

I think they're just getting going. 'tis the season. I enjoyed the 4 month break and look forward to the next one. I really appreciate the lack of flying bugs!

 

[JakkelWx]

The chance of any wintry precip outside perhaps the foothills/mountains is extremely low, current snowpack across the N US is very poor, with barely any expected snow the next 4 days, this alone is a big red flag for a deeper cold CAD, not to mention its mid March when models show this
Oh and those areas have AN temps the next 3-4 days

Yeah a lot of snpwpack that is less than 6 inches is gonna get obliterated by the next three days of mild temps up in the interior NE. I will be spending the next two weeks preparing to move to Florida. April 2nd is the target date for when I plan to move.

 

[LickWx]

Yeah a lot of snpwpack that is less than 6 inches is gonna get obliterated by the next three days of mild temps up in the interior NE. I will be spending the next two weeks preparing to move to Florida. April 2nd is the target date for when I plan to move.

Yeah models will correct warmer once they realize that . Bit of lag there . Let’s bring the high 70s up to eastern shore of Maryland before you leave ! Besides pretty sure even your area just about touches 80 on average in March , or comes close to it.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

18z EPS = stronger SE can vortex ?

 

[SD]

If the wedge front speeds up any more we are going to lose Friday. Nam has it south of Columbia 12z Saturday

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If the wedge front speeds up any more we are going to lose Friday. Nam has it south of Columbia 12z SaturdayView attachment 78393

I think Friday is fine, NAM is been way to aggressive with wedges lately, it was trying to sorta wedge Thursday a few days lol with low clouds, but Saturday is Over

 

[SD]

I think Friday is fine, NAM is been way to aggressive with wedges lately, it was trying to sorta wedge Thursday a few days lol with low clouds, but Saturday is Over View attachment 78394

You sure...this is getting too close for comfort

 

[Myfrotho704_]

You sure...this is getting too close for comfortView attachment 78395

We’re fine man for Friday, if 12z tomorrow still
Continues then I worry

 

[Myfrotho704_]

What a change

 

[SD]

What a change View attachment 78396View attachment 78397

This is horrible lol. These run to run day to day swings are crazy

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is horrible lol

No clue is a understatement

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Sunday is that day where it can go either way , I lean wudged tho

 

[Myfrotho704_]

These models are so ass I question myself why I try solving the LR sometimes

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Sunday....

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Sunday.... View attachment 78400View attachment 78401

Pretty awesome trend away from wedging

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GFS is torch and CAD, nothing below freezing yet thru day 9

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That arctic air that was appearing on models is basically gone now

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That arctic air that was appearing on models is basically gone now View attachment 78403View attachment 78404

No surprise, went from a -EPO a few days ago to this hunk of garbage, pacific dump, that’s why there’s basically no extreme cold shown on models anymore

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Still some interest on the GEFS just enough to be worried about stronger than modeled CAD .. it looks at the very least like another significant cold rain event for many

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Wow.