Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[Parker]

Had enough ignore button on

If the amount of time you use to downplay an event was put into looking at the models, radar and atmospheric conditions it would be different. You can clearly see intensity levels increase on radar and short term models continue to improve along and E of the I-59 corridor

This run stayed a little more North than any of the previous ones, and the rates look really good.

 

[RollTide18]

Holy cow Montgomery gets it good this run of the HRRR

 

[ChattaVOL]

@Storm5 would the pivot be good for Chattanooga?

 

[Parker]

The QPF output on the HRRR keeps creeping up ever so slightly each run. Wow, this is getting interesting.

 

[Arcc]

Yeah this goes here.

 

[Lee County AL]

Holy cow Montgomery gets it good this run of the HRRR

Can you post any pictures also do you think Birmingham is going to upgrade the advisory for Central Alabama

 

[StormStalker]

Looks like the event is almost over for us up here in NW AL. Looks like the Florence area where I'm at will finish around 1" with maybe 1.25" in some areas.

Yep, about the same here. Now to deal with the cold. Already 19 degrees.

 

[RollTide18]

Can you post any pictures also do you think Birmingham is going to upgrade the advisory for Central Alabama

I think they'll wait and see whether or not to upgrade.

 

[packfan98]

The 15z SREF plumes goes BOOM for the Triad. Up about an inch to 3.69" WOW!

 

[ForsythSnow]

Let's go HRRR! Thicker band and heavier snow it appears. Love this frame. #HomeRun

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

RAP goes bonkers over WNC again.

 

[RollTide18]

 

[LovingGulfLows]

SREF skyrocketted for KATL from .48 to .9.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Augusta's SREF mean is at 0.62...highest it's been yet I think.

 

[WarEagle22]

SREF (FWIW) went up IMBY to over an inch mean. It was at 1/2". Went up almost an inch.

BHAM's doubled as well.

RDU's is 3.05

 

[Parker]

SREF up to almost 3/4 inch average for bham with a 3 inch member and a 4.5 inch member. Things could go boom....

 

[Burgh_proud]

Flurries in Trussville


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[Brick Tamland]

SREF mean up to 3 for RDU.

 

[ForsythSnow]

The 15z SREF plumes goes BOOM for the Triad. Up about an inch to 3.69" WOW!

Up to 0.8 in Gainesville, 1.5 in Rome, 0.9 in ATL, 1 at FFC.

 

[Snow_chaser]

Getting sprinkles of rain in Paulding county GA. Help moistin up the atmosphere?

 

[crecre9]

Downtown Huntsville ended up with just under a quarter inch. I'll take it, though I'd always like to see more.

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Hour 16 on the HRRR is a work of GOD. OMG. The radar goes bonkers that hour.

 

[DadOfJax]

You can see the precip has started a more SW to NE flow....this could be a HUGE trend in the right direction for central AL. Watch the Columbus, MS radar and see if the back end starts to slow...if so, look out I-20!

 

[Xtreme Weather]

SREF up to almost 3/4 inch average for bham with a 3 inch member and a 4.5 inch member. Things could go boom....

Same here almost doubled my snowfall and over .10" of QPF now big change

 

[NoSnowATL]

Hour 16 on the HRRR is a work of GOD. OMG. The radar goes bonkers that hour.

We might see something in our area this time around!

 

[weatherfide]

SREF mean total snow for KFFC is up to 1.0".

 

[Storm5]

@Storm5 would the pivot be good for Chattanooga?

Yeah it's good for everyone really . Will allow for intensification and slower movement.

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[Parker]

Same here almost doubled my snowfall and over .10" of QPF now big change

Yeah the mean QPF is .08 for Bham and has one at .34 and one at .39

Talk about a change.

 

[cyclogent]

15z sref mean for CHA is 1.51"

 

[Ilovesnow28]

Can anybody post the SREF for Tuscaloosa?

 

[Benholio]

Minor change, but FFC updated grids for Cumming, GA bumped snow from 0.5 to 0.6, with light rain arriving around 4pm, light snow at 6pm.

Temperature drop is something...
4pm: 42 degrees
7pm: 30
10pm: 20

 

[ForsythSnow]

Yeah it's good for everyone really . Will allow for intensification and slower movement.

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Just as the HRRR is advertising. Looks like the N GA snow hole went POOF! I as well as many others are glad that recent modeling is saying this. 10 Hours of snow on the HRRR with 2-3 being at least moderate snow means a good amount here. Not sure what the ratios will be or how dry/wet they will be, but seeing higher QPF and snow totals is great.

 

[WarEagle22]

Rap also see's an increase over East AL, back down into Central/Southern Bama into GA. Got me at 2 to 3 inches now.

 

[Shinrin]

Starting to flurry here in Gadsden, a block and a half away from Attalla, AL.

 

[RollTide18]

Sref mean went up over a half inch this run, boom potential member over 2 inches

 

[Shawn]

Reminder, the 06, 12, 00, and incoming 18z runs of the HRRRX go out further in time.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

I fear that people are going to be caught off guard and dont realize how fast the temps will drop this evening.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Minor change, but FFC updated grids for Cumming, GA bumped snow from 0.5 to 0.6, with light rain arriving around 4pm, light snow at 6pm.

Temperature drop is something...
4pm: 42 degrees
7pm: 30
10pm: 20

Yeah, they have a 10 degree drop in there too up here. Definitely going to be a flash freeze.

 

[weatherfide]

up to 52.3 degrees at my home in Fayette County. Hard to believe it will fall 20 degrees in a few hours...

 

[CobraMedic]

For whoever is curious, Oxford/Anniston area Plume mean at .79 with a boom of 3.79. 8 of the members above mean. Looking good.