Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[deltadog03]

night and day changes this run of NAM in a Good way IMHO (H5)

 

[SCweather]

I know all my Columbia folks are happy about that beauty of a band. Man one can only hope that verifies.

 

[crecre9]

And Huntsville metro is how much

Current SREF mean around an inch.

 

[Webberweather53]

As expected from changes a little earlier in the run, the NAM is trying to cut this s/w off from the main stream flow by 45 hours. If other NWP trend to this, it could substantially increase QPF further east over NC/VA

 

[Psalm 148:8]

Mid-level moisture transport from the Gulf is wide open... Nice to have this w/o much convection along the Gulf Coast
View attachment 2971

Shouldn’t that create more moisture into the system in many areas??

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

I mean if the NAM's right its what most are basically hoping for outside of the possible redevelopment places in North Carolina.

 

[Brett]

As expected from changes a little earlier in the run, the NAM is trying to cut this s/w off from the main stream flow by 45 hours. If other NWP trend to this, it could substantially increase QPF further east over NC/VA
View attachment 2974

Do you think it can increase for eastern Virginia or just central?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

NAM goes BOOM. Gulf tap really helping. Firehouse on full blast

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Happy for the people in the south metro and middle GA. Many of them
haven’t seen snow since 2014

 

[deltadog03]

Our s/w is trying to separate from the main stream flow more this run by 39 hours, that on it's own is more conducive to getting a cut-off ULL much sooner in the long run. Also encouraging to see heights continue to rise over New England
View attachment 2970

I was thinking the same thing, the changes at H5 are amazing this run. DEF develops more (light) QPF for areas, but also over central and southern potions of AL And GA (run so far)

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Per NAM, 85 corridor is going to crushed in NC

 

[Clem282340]

As expected from changes a little earlier in the run, the NAM is trying to cut this s/w off from the main stream flow by 45 hours. If other NWP trend to this, it could substantially increase QPF further east over NC/VA
View attachment 2974

Would the moisture increase in South Carolina as well

 

[Ron Burgundy]

night and day changes this run of NAM in a Good way IMHO (H5)

Chris - do you buy the NGA snow hole? Kinda hard to discount on multiple models.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Still snowing in North Carolina and ratios likely higher in North AL/GA.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Looks like the gulf tap is promoting big time Lee side enhancement. Maybe a bigger feature than the costal low

 

[Metwannabe]

Still tries to dry up the band as it heads east (in NC) but appears to hold together better than the 12z run...

 

[Parker]

Still snowing in North Carolina and ratios likely higher in North AL/GA.

Really hope birmingham doesn’t get into the snow hole. This run wasn’t so nice.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This setup favors the southern upstate more so than DT Greenville. Rightfully so

 

[Webberweather53]

12km NAM shows some love to the midlands of SC... The Triad is bullseyed again w/ nearly 4" of snow

 

[ColaSnow]

I know all my Columbia folks are happy about that beauty of a band. Man one can only hope that verifies.

To which band are you referencing?