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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

While the NAM is headed back in the right direction and getting close to something quasi big for NC.... the 3k NAM didn't do me any favors lol
snku_acc.us_ma.png
 
The jet streak will enhance precipitation. but, i just realized versus previous runs of the GFS, the 12z GFS had the streak too. like the NAM, interesting.

It’s a fine line we are walking as far as I’m concerned here in the midlands. I hope the NAM continues to improve for us.


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Here is the new hrrr (hrrrx) which I think is replacing the hrrr eventually. The 0,6,12, 18z runs goes out to 36 hours compared to 18 hours with the other hourly runs and currently used hrrr. It has the band weakening but not as bad as the nam into Ga and looks like it begins redevelopment at the end of the run. Interested in seeing how this model does in the end.hrrrx_ref_frzn_seus_fh27-36.gif
 
Radar in Ark looks to be starting to form what I believe to be the sw limb of the system around Mountain Home Ark. I would like to get excited, but looking at water vapor imagery we have a lot of dry air to overcome in the low and mid levels.
 
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