I don't see this having anything even close to the moisture potential of 12/8/17. That being said, the problem here is that even a dusting could cause driving problems since it would be much colder than 12/8/17.
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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)
- Thread starter GeorgiaGirl
- Start date
I don't see this having anything even close to the moisture potential of 12/8/17. That being said, the problem here is that even a dusting could cause driving problems since it would be much colder than 12/8/17.
I'm not looking for anything maybe wet flakes mixed in and a flurry at very end
Should we even trust the Euro at this range?
ATLwxfan
Member
Storm5
Member
Euro look nothing like the ukmet or rgem
Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Euro goes boom for Raleigh to Roanoke Rapids!
Better than 00z EURO for CAE.Euro goes boom for Raleigh to Roanoke Rapids!
Parker
Member
Riding the short range models to glory!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I have a hard time believing there won't be several inches of snow in parts of the NC mountains out of this... It's about time to start giving the NAM more credence than the Euro anyway
WPC gives Birmingham between a 5 and 10% chance of getting 1" of snow.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Really think anywhere from Charlotte to Roanoke Rapids can be the sweet spot. The models have been showing various spots. Euro looks between the GFS and NAM, and like the UK.
Showmeyourtds
Member
Interesting EURO run. Very moisture-starved. Opposite from what the Short Rangers are showing.
No, but it gives an indication that moisture is limited and that durations should be pretty short. So, even with high ratios, I'd say ~1" tops ATL area with that more likely northside. But anything could be dangerous. Anything measurable would be a pretty big deal.
What are you predicting?
The colors of those maps can be deceiving. It's around 0.1 - 0.4 for KCAE proper.
Euro, really hates my house.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The ICON & CMC hold off on the precipitation til 18z which is part of the reason why they're so much warmer than the Euro in the boundary layer. Sure their sfc temps may be overdone but if the timing of the s/w and precipitation is slower that will favor a warmer BL than the Euro is advertising at the onset of the event. Timing is key to minimize p-type issues
I would probably be on the safe side like you and say up to an inch. Until we get closer we won't really know either. Certainly much different than last month with plenty of cold around.