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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

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As expected, temperature problems for the SC Midlands, up to CLT even. This is what I was afraid of, even with precipitation:

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Shawn said:
As expected, temperature problems for the SC Midlands, up to CLT even. This is what I was afraid of, even with precipitation:

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Same here, granted verbatim RDU goes over to all snow after wasting a little QPF on melting hydrometeors to overcome the near-surface above freezing layer. Mixing may be a limiting factor to snowfall potential southeast of Greensboro-Roxboro
 
So, the Euro is basically too warm here, the Icon, the GFS likely would be with precip, the NAM likely would be with precip.

Sorry CAE friends.
 
The GFS took a baby step in the right direction towards getting cut-off ULL with a slower s/w over the MS Valley... It's probably still way too progressive (& thus too far NE) in the end.
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Now, on the GFS, it makes a lot more sense for it to be bone dry in Georgia and South Carolina because the dewpoints are bone dry compared to everything else. It actually did very well with the coastal/south Georgia/southern SC/East NC deal earlier on dewpoints.

Maybe it's wrong but still.

The ICON has actually ran a few degrees warmer than everything else. Perhaps it's right though.
 
this is just a disaster scenario for South Carolina. Cold air following precip over the mountains smh we've seen this 10,000 times and it doesn't work out. Same thing happened here southeast of I85 in early December. Cold air source east of apps = no snow
 
We’ll end up getting enough precipitation for a significant winter storm only to watch temps climb as we move in. Typical Triangle winter storm. Going to need to move south to see snow. Maybe northern AL.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
this is just a disaster scenario for South Carolina. Cold air following precip over the mountains smh we've seen this 10,000 times and it doesn't work out. Same thing happened here southeast of I85 in early December. Cold air source east of apps = no snow
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Never fails. 32 or below when its dry. In comes the rain and its 40.
 
What do you guys think the timeframe for this hitting northwest Georgia is going to be? If it snows, around what time do you think it will start on Tuesday?


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