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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

Just have to see what the other model runs show now. Hate this back and forth. Wish we could just have a good trend stay good for once.
 
Posted this yesterday, but it seems like worth repeating today ...

Mods, if you want me to delete, please PM me and I'll do so promptly ...

Folks, Chill.
Model runs are not generated by Divine Inspiration, nor are they scripted by Mathew, Mark, Luke or John ... :confused:

Good luck, but don't spend your life and every 3 hours of it glued to a set of models. Please ... ;)
 
Brick Tamland said:
Just have to see what the other model runs show now. Hate this back and forth. Wish we could just have a good trend stay good for once.
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I can’t remember the last good broad-based big winter storm that trended colder and wetter as we moved in.
 
Meteorologist1999 said:
I thought it look to have good moisture for South and North Carolina this run..
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Definite decrease
1066f9f5d79781a3ee27f8ca02ad9ec1.gif


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Unfortunately we have to take the ICON in account lol if we're going to credit high res over the regular ones. We'll just see if it's a blip later tonight.

GFS looked okay for North Carolina. If I'm not mistaken it has the dual jet representation too but it didn't respond to it at all. Not even close to what it should do.
 
metwannabe said:
Definite decrease
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The decrease in precip is pretty much across the board except in a small area of NC. It looks like there is some missing data in that run. I believe that it is a fluke. No bias here..... my total remained the same. If it is just a fluke, "missing data" issue, the 0z run should be telling.
 
I'll be honest, I'm on the fence with this one. It bothers me that we haven't had like any "honerun" solutions either. I know we are taking baby steps but its been bugging me about this not going to happen. Too many factors against it. I think it's like why are we not developing better qpf with fiarly good dynamics. I guess we shall see
 
deltadog03 said:
I'll be honest, I'm on the fence with this one. It bothers me that we haven't had like any "honerun" solutions either. I know we are taking baby steps but its been bugging me about this not going to happen. Too many factors against it. I think it's like why are we not developing better qpf with fiarly good dynamics. I guess we shall see
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Homerun solution? For areas east of the Carolinas an inch or so is a homerun in this situation . And we've seen a few runs showing what 3-5 I'm NC. Not sure we can ask for more this late in the game
 
Storm5 said:
Homerun solution? For areas east of the Carolinas an inch or so is a homerun in this situation . And we've seen a few runs showing what 3-5 I'm NC. Not sure we can ask for more this late in the game
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I mean for areas outside of NC. Ie euro runs from a few days ago and the GFS run or 2
Trust me, it's all good with an or 2, west of the Carolinas and Carolina will be good even as modeled now. I was just talking about a more widespread light to moderate event like it had been showing
 
Okay everyone.

This is the daily reminder not to glue yourselves to every model run of every model. Overall, things still look okay for North Carolina. I still am fairly confident of at least an inch or two in the Triad.
 
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