Webberweather53
Meteorologist
While it's the long range NAM, it looks a lot like the Euro & ICON...
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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)
- Thread starter GeorgiaGirl
- Start date
Stormsfury
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
It definitely could, and often in setups like this that often is the case, we'll find out tomorrow how much more moisture we'll have to work with (if any). We'll lose some to the mountains but the mid-level moisture transport from the Gulf is impressive...
Honestly, I think CAE would do good in this setup. Maybe up to a inch of Snow!
FFC is definitely not the conservative office that it was 10+ years ago. If anything, I'd put them on the slightly aggressive side on average. They are and have been for a good number of years totally different from those old days.
RollTide18
Member
What about west of the Apps for places like AL? You think the band will just fizzle like the NAM showed?
The reformation into the Midlands of SC and through NC is kind of what the Euro hints at; and an improvement of the 12z look on the (often overdone) simulated radar imagery of the NAM.
Now, while it shows snow; there are some pretty warm temperatures out in front of the band, that give me pause. Maybe a dusting or so.
Now, while it shows snow; there are some pretty warm temperatures out in front of the band, that give me pause. Maybe a dusting or so.
Jon
Member
Nice uptick in QPF on the 12z EPS
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Showmeyourtds
Member
Do you have any thoughts to why this is? I see the 2 streaming N&E, but just can’t imagine that moisture doesn’t pair up,with what’s coming from the NW.
FFC says up to 1 inch in a line from LaGrange to Conyers to Commerce...a bit south of what the latest 12k NAM showed.
BHS1975
Member
Yeah more like rain with a bit of snow on the back end.
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Avalanche
Member
Yeah hopefully the Triangle can pull out a few snow showers before the moisture exits.
Stormlover
Member
Lame new discussion from Huntsville, but this is about it, so there won't be any Winter Storm Watch coming tonight anyway..
latest guidance has the majority of the precip
developing along/behind the passage of the arctic front, where the
better dynamical lift/forcing are located. QPF amounts adjusted for
snowfall totals are right around 0.5-1.0 inch for most of the cntrl
TN Valley, with the higher amount located from srn mid TN into NW AL.
latest guidance has the majority of the precip
developing along/behind the passage of the arctic front, where the
better dynamical lift/forcing are located. QPF amounts adjusted for
snowfall totals are right around 0.5-1.0 inch for most of the cntrl
TN Valley, with the higher amount located from srn mid TN into NW AL.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
18z ICON looks considerably worse this run w/ a faster s/w, still better than the GFS/CMC atm
We take a step forward and then a step back. I don’t know why getting a couple of inches of snow is such an excruciatingly hard thing to do around here.
RollTide18
Member
Well that's not good
BHS1975
Member
SCweather
Member
Not sure if we can just toss it. If we did that, we’d be a bunch of hypocrites for honking it’s horn earlier. Got to take all of them in consideration. Except the GFS, the GFS sucks.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Been trending great here since yesterday and now it went the wrong way.
Showmeyourtds
Member
Haven’t y’all forgotten the rules? We toss all runs that don’t show what we want to see.
Just kidding..but seriously, toss it.