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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

Mr. Grinch said:
1 day in the 30s after
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Highs Wed in the mid 20's here, and even lower if the snowcover is good, barely freezing on Thursday
 
RollTide18 said:
It's not just a clipper though.
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It is in the western parts of the SE unless the gulf tap possibility is true...paging Chris...is it possible the double jet formation is on the Euro too?

If it isn't true, it's clipper to late bloomer in the Carolinas.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
It is in the western parts of the SE unless the gulf tap possibility is true...paging Chris...is it possible the double jet formation is on the Euro too?

If it isn't true, it's clipper to late bloomer in the Carolinas.
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Yeah that's what I mean, we'd possibility be getting moisture from the Gulf, otherwise none of us in Alabama would even be talking about this.
 
CAE's thoughts (and looking over SREF, there's only around 20% chance, so sounds good):

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Upper trough over the E CONUS to be reinforced by strong
embedded energy digging SE into the region Wednesday. Surface
boundary to push through Tue night into Wednesday. Continued
appearance of limited moisture availability. In general, latest
model runs continue trending slight chance POPS, except the NAM
which is a bit more aggressive. Stayed close to WPC guidance
with mainly slight chance POPS Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Thermal profiles and local tools continue to indicate if any
precipitation occurs, it could be a combination of rain, snow or
mix thereof at times. Not expecting significant accumulation or
impacts at this time.
 
Arcc said:
Maybe it will hold together and give a lot of people a flizzard. I just have no trust in a clipper making it for most of us.
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Just taking what we can get 3 runs prior with EURO there was no precip at all for nobody (in AL) latest run .05-.10" personally always been a low accumulation high impact situation. Light but trending in right direction at least...could be more precip earlier runs to 0.

Edit we are at least trending in the right direction not going backwards to this point anyway
 
Parker said:
View attachment 2866
Holycrap at the latest SREF for Bham. Almost
1 inch mean and two at 4-5 inches. That’s a HUGE jump from a .25 mean on the run before.
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SREF jumped here too, close to a half inch but there are some members with 2.5 inches, the highest on previous run were less than an inch.

I believe that's what @Arcc wanted to see, increases down this way.
 
NCSNOW said:
Good trends today,espeacilly triad over to triangle. Euro almost got back to that 6 inch plus look from a couple days ago. Fact Kuchera did have a 6 + lollipop just a hair nw of SD and Brick.Looked good at H5 so maybe we can get lucky and real one in here.

Euro,icon and nam are good horses to be pulling the wagon on a set up like this one. Ukmet is a hoarse you want when your dealing with phased streams.
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Sounds great. Would love to see that map.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
It is in the western parts of the SE unless the gulf tap possibility is true...paging Chris...is it possible the double jet formation is on the Euro too?

If it isn't true, it's clipper to late bloomer in the Carolinas.
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Can't rule out Leeside enhancement. Can't really forecast it either
 
RollTide18 said:
SREF jumped here too, close to a half inch but there are some members with 2.5 inches, the highest on previous run were less than an inch.

I believe that's what @Arcc wanted to see, increases down this way.
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Yeah I would watch plumes down there. As bad as the SREF can be, maybe we can see some sort of trend.
 
To be fair; I only use the SREF when it seems like it has the right idea. Right now it has 20% chance here; which is about what I think. If it was showing 50-60% and obscene numbers, I'd throw it out without other ensemble and operational support.
 
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