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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

The HRRR has decided to troll me by splitting my county as half snow and half rain at hour 16, and especially by initializing wrong. On a serious note, it looks like this area is fine, may start with rain/mix but change over. Like I said earlier, I'd say a half inch to an inch, maybe up to 2 in the northern parts of the CSRA.
 
Shawn said:
Looks like NWS CAE nailed this so far with the GEFS depiction with the heavier axis right up there in their warning zone.

If things work out , heavier than planned, I can see that 0.3+ extending down to at least Newberry county.
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Shawn, what's your opinion man. Youre the grandfather of the Midlands. Temps look dicey but what is your opinion on a inch of snow for let's say, Lexington and Richland counties.
 
My road turned white in the past hour or so. This does remind me of January '14 in my location, because we were at the very northern edge of the snow. The grassy areas just had a dusting, but the roads were impassable. Looks like that again here.
 
SCweather said:
Shawn, what's your opinion man. Youre the grandfather of the Midlands. Temps look dicey but what is your opinion on a inch of snow for let's say, Lexington and Richland counties.
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60% chance. It is highly dependent on what is going to happen with the forcing/jetstreaking. The SW flow looks okay at both the surface and mid levels currently.
 
BPATL said:
I am sure you're a great person, but read more and maybe post less until you get good info, this is an unfolding nowcast event that will likely over perform..
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Based on ground truth, most places arent going to verify 1inch forecasts. Ground truth is as good as any info out there.
 
Y'all remember a few years back, Dallas , TX was forecast to get an inch and ended up with 12"!? That's the kind of busts that give you hope! It gave a lot of us wintry precip too
 
It’s just about over here in Chattanooga. Roads are covered in snow with a ice layer under the snow.
 
DadOfJax said:
Based on ground truth, most places arent going to verify 1inch forecasts. Ground truth is as good as any info out there.
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They would not declare a state of emergency if it was going to be just an inch of snow. Trust me there will be more than that in places, especially the 85 corridor and East Central AL.
 
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