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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

1/16/18 - 6:16 pm
------------------------
NWS Atlanta
-----------------
".UPDATE...

Wintry mix making its way across north GA this early evening.
With temperatures quickly dropping behind the cold front (which is currently situated across NE GA down through the metro, south to Columbus), expect a fine line between rain/snow as the
precipitation continues to move south and east. Thus expecting the far northern tier of GA to see mainly snow over the next hour,
transitioning down to the metro between 7pm and 9pm. This
transition of rain to snow will continue to slowly move toward
Columbus around midnight, to Macon around 5am.

An area of concern is the possible mesoscale banding that could
set up across a portion of the area later this evening into the
overnight. This is due to the positively tilted trough, exiting
jet and low/mid level impulses allowing lift to be more enhanced.
This combined with fgen features showing a bit of instability
could result in localized higher snowfall amounts. Based on this
information and current model trends, current thinking is that
this region would be between LaGrange down toward Columbus then northeast toward Athens.

We will continue to monitor observations and high resolution model guidance and update as needed.
 
Any reports back in LA? Seems like they been hetting hammered for hrs
 
Meteorologist1999 said:
Its even looking better for CAE Shawn!!
Click to expand...

Looks like NWS CAE nailed this so far with the GEFS depiction with the heavier axis right up there in their warning zone.

If things work out , heavier than planned, I can see that 0.3+ extending down to at least Newberry county.
 
Looks like were going to miss any real travel issues in most of BMX's CWA. Very few 1 inch reports will verify as well. Tough and rare scenario to try to forecast.
 
;)
farleydawg792 said:
1/16/18 - 6:16 pm
------------------------
NWS Atlanta
-----------------
".UPDATE...

Wintry mix making its way across north GA this early evening.
With temperatures quickly dropping behind the cold front (which is currently situated across NE GA down through the metro, south to Columbus), expect a fine line between rain/snow as the
precipitation continues to move south and east. Thus expecting the far northern tier of GA to see mainly snow over the next hour,
transitioning down to the metro between 7pm and 9pm. This
transition of rain to snow will continue to slowly move toward
Columbus around midnight, to Macon around 5am.

An area of concern is the possible mesoscale banding that could
set up across a portion of the area later this evening into the
overnight. This is due to the positively tilted trough, exiting
jet and low/mid level impulses allowing lift to be more enhanced.
This combined with fgen features showing a bit of instability
could result in localized higher snowfall amounts. Based on this
information and current model trends, current thinking is that
this region would be between LaGrange down toward Columbus then northeast toward Athens.

We will continue to monitor observations and high resolution model guidance and update as needed.
Click to expand...
If only someone had seen the coming! @deltadog03
 
DadOfJax said:
Looks like were going to miss any real travel issues in most of BMX's CWA. Very few 1 inch reports will verify as well. Tough and rare scenario to try to forecast.
Click to expand...

The refreeze is the problem. Not exactly the amounts. @John De Block said about that a couple days ago.
 
DadOfJax said:
Looks like were going to miss any real travel issues in most of BMX's CWA. Very few 1 inch reports will verify as well. Tough and rare scenario to try to forecast.
Click to expand...
Sounds like it may not be as bad as Jan 2014 in Birmingham. I know Spann was comparing this system to Jan 14.
 
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