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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

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Looking good
 
What you guys think for Columbia,SC. I would really like to hear you guys opinions??
I'm thinking Dusting to 1/2" at least. I don't see a scenario where Columbia doesn't get at least that. Could certainly wring out a couple inches on the high end
 
If the Euro totals are true for Atlanta and my area, it's going to have to average about 3/8" an hour for the next 6.5 hours. I have 3/8" total now after 4 hours of snowfall. I don't see it. Maybe we double or get close to one inch.
Well, we have some heavy stuff moving in. Looks kind of like it might jump out of the sky :) Maybe these can pile it up...after all it's out of Montgomery.
 
So by my eyes radar the system ENE not due east so looks like a lil north of 20 should get some of the heavy bands of the northern quadrant of storm probably enough for inch or on top of what's feel
 
Well Shawn is drunk but before things move in and I pass out here is what I think for my Midlands friends:

Just west or in the city of Columbia, I think a dusting is going to happen, up to an inch, if the precipitation rate works to crash the cold air down.

To the West of Columbia, Saluda through Lexington, Newberry, Greenwood, Northern Aiken, Hell, even probably the Augusta region, 1-2 inches.

To The Southern Midlands around Orangeburg, Calhoun, dusting with locally heavier banding allowing for more accumulation on colder surfaces like the grass, railways, overpasses/bridges.

Other areas to the East and South, some Wintry mix; Nothing major. This is not climo to a huge storm here.
 
Well...guess it wasn't over here just yet. Big, fat flakes falling. Pretty heavy band about to move through here. We may wind up with over an inch after all.
 
Well Shawn is drunk but before things move in and I pass out here is what I think for my Midlands friends:

Just west or in the city of Columbia, I think a dusting is going to happen, up to an inch, if the precipitation rate works to crash the cold air down.

To the West of Columbia, Saluda through Lexington, Newberry, Greenwood, Northern Aiken, Hell, even probably the Augusta region, 1-2 inches.

To The Southern Midlands around Orangeburg, Calhoun, dusting with locally heavier banding allowing for more accumulation on colder surfaces like the grass, railways, overpasses/bridges.

Other areas to the East and South, some Wintry mix; Nothing major. This is not climo to a huge storm here.
so you aren't buying crankyweatherguys snow map? lol
 
His disco was definitely on point, but I don't think I'd go with 4"-6" here, either. If he hits on his forecast in this area, then he's a BOSS! LOL

Haha bud, 1-2 max. If I bust; Damn the bad luck. Crankycrackcrackheadweatherguy can troll me forever.
 
I'm just not as good w/ SC snowfall haha, it helps when you've analyzed 800+ historical storms for NC...

Good point. That is how I feel around here. I feel like I am doing a disservice to areas in MS/AL/GA/TN/NC when I constantly post about the South Carolina area; but I really do not know enough to speak accurately about those areas.

I know when it's going to "snow" but not anything to guessing the parameters and climo to various mesoscale events happening that way.
 
Finally something falling. Little stuff. Now I will never sleep.
 
Probably seeing the heaviest snow of the night here right now. When it first started, we had bigger flakes though. I realize with these small flakes it takes a lot to get any good accumulations. Even with temps near 20, still not seeing fast accumulations due to the small flake size.
 
I'm just going to take his blue contour and extend it down through the upstate. It etter verify, too

His blue contour is expecting a different precipitation amount though, at least remove 1/3 from it.
 
Probably seeing the heaviest snow of the night here right now. When it first started, we had bigger flakes though. I realize with these small flakes it takes a lot to get any good accumulations. Even with temps near 20, still not seeing fast accumulations due to the small flake size.

Due to wetter snow. When temps are above freezing, the snowflakes sticks to each other due to them being wet thus producing larger snowflakes. As ratios continue to improve, the snowflakes will get finer and finer. This won't be snow you can make a snowman or snowball with.
 
snow grains like you guys are seeing in the colder zones will accumulate quickly because you dont have to worry about latent heat release with merging flakes as they hit the ground. the south is used to wet, boring , crappy flakes.

You guys are good. In fact, that is how you get higher ratios! :)
 
Due to wetter snow. When temps are above freezing, the snowflakes sticks to each other due to them being wet thus producing larger snowflakes. As ratios continue to improve, the snowflakes will get finer and finer. This won't be snow you can make a snowman or snowball with.

Yea. Just seems like the small flakes take forever to add up though lol.
 
snow grains like you guys are seeing in the colder zones will accumulate quickly because you dont have to worry about latent heat release with merging flakes as they hit the ground. the south is used to wet, boring , crappy flakes.

You guys are good. In fact, that is how you get higher ratios! :)

Odd because it seems like the opposite so far lol. But, maybe that will change.
 
Everything is completely covered. Roads are bad, still snowing. Ive been u der this intense snowband for about 6 hrs. About 4 hrs with Mod/Heavy bands. Im pushing 3in.
 
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