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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

Webberweather53 said:
I'd be careful here. The SREF uses 10:1 SLR and shows 0.28" QPF w/ a little less than 3" of snow in the Triad, in reality w/ 12-15:1 ratios, Greensboro would verbatim see 4-5"
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Granted, but that is a meso amp skew suite with a usual dial back of 25-40% during big EC events. Not saying the same will hold here, only that the mean is broad-brushing totals where they will be more localized.
 
WeatherNC said:
Granted, but that is a meso amp skew suite with a usual dial back of 25-40% dial back during big EC events.
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I wouldn't necessarily apply that here, the potential for an event like the SREF depicts is clearly on the table w/ the way NWP is trending and how the high res models are evolving in general. 3-6" is not that unreasonable back towards the Triad
 
Anyone have a sounding for BMX tomorrow at 12 pm? Interested to see RH in the 1025-750 mb layer. Low level moisture would help smaller QPF numbers "Play UP"
 
The short term trends in the NAM continue to bode well for an earlier cut-off ULL like the RGEM/DWD-ICON have been showing granted it's beyond me whether the model will actually show that this run
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DarkKnight said:
I really don’t see how that line would break up for 2 hours then Reform. I think it will hold together.
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I hope not because it really messes me up a little, breaks up right on top of me, then reforms once it’s past me. Still get ok amount but could get a lot more if stayed together.
 
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