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Miserable March

BirdManDoomW

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CMC is a winter storm Wilkes County NC and points north-East under 150hrs. Let’s see if euro trends colder tonight. For now, I’m thinking onset ice to all rain with little to no impact.
 

Nomanslandva

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CMC is a winter storm Wilkes County NC and points north-East under 150hrs. Let’s see if euro trends colder tonight. For now, I’m thinking onset ice to all rain with little to no impact.
Lots of EPS members with things of interest but it seems like this year we really have not seen trends to colder on the CAD events. Everything this year has just gon the wrong way. The ones we needed to trend NW didn't and the ones we needed to hold, shifted. Or should I say shafted...
 

NoSnowATL

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Myfrotho704_

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FWIW can really start to see the switch in seasons at the end of the ensembles Out of winter, ofc there smoothed out mean enhances this but average 500mb heights are slowly increasing, the SPV is weakening from a FSWE (question mark that could bring temporary cool weather) 414D87B7-B84C-4A13-B094-975C413877C5.png
but its headed towards it summer mode regardless, and the LR patterns on the ensembles look more legit for severe, there also showing a signs of burying the TPV back far away from the US and suppressing the ridge into the aluetains/GOA, which often means a more stable SER, we’ll see if this holds but I hope it does, really take any sort of warmth at this point even if it doesn’t do much to COVID19
CF3D0B06-00AF-49B1-8EAA-B8B20E4A83AA.png 2A7D640E-CEB6-4AC5-8F1C-996ECD916313.png
 

Myfrotho704_

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Suprised the SPC hasn’t put out a marginal, solid setup for isolated severe storms given the boundary with solid SRH, decent CAPE, and solid eff bulk shear 90F48C8B-4019-4856-B734-0CCEA17C437F.jpeg 95308863-A5F2-456E-B5D2-164A1CAFFA7D.gif
 

GeorgiaGirl

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That storm just went under a severe thunderstorm warning a few minutes ago. I'm wondering if whether it's going to end up coming over me but it's track has shifted from northeast to east so maybe not.
 

Myfrotho704_

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That storm just went under a severe thunderstorm warning a few minutes ago. I'm wondering if whether it's going to end up coming over me but it's track has shifted from northeast to east so maybe not.
Yea, strongest/tallest storm of the day, actually a decent little supercell, hail/wind the threat altho its trying to rotate 98AF0DE0-DBE1-48D8-BCB2-BED22888FFCE.png F27E9865-3057-4870-B1CA-E77D335B8537.png
 
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