Webberweather53
Meteorologist
VA border crush job...not sure we want it amping that early here for RDU, need a slower and/or weaker vortHuge differences here in s/w orientation, and amplitude this run vs 18z, probably going to end up w/ a bigger storm further east...
Old run
View attachment 395
New run
View attachment 396
That's a ton of sleet south of the Granville/Wake line but yeah, NC border counties did well.
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Looks like RDU north may do OK, of course Wake County would be a lot of mixing...the snow map would look decent. Big winner here is just north of Wake 10-12" it appears.
VA border crush job...not sure we want it amping that early here for RDU, need a slower and/or weaker vort
I agree...any totals south of the border counties are really suspect with that low track/vort amplitude. This is where Kuchera fails....19" in south person/N Durham counties. But hey, Roxboro always jackpots.A lot of that is probably sleet and freezing rain in northern Wake, realistically probably more like 4-7" except near VA border where it's mostly snow. Distribution reminiscent of Feb 1989 definitely a legitimate possibility
North half of Tennessee/Kentucky/Northern NC still do well but I'd be a little uncomfortable about the south trend stopping now with this winter's trends.
Well, Kentucky much better this run,so that's prob where I'll be anyways. Low was stronger earlier as well
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This isn't gonna keep coming south. Gonna see a little bouncing around for the next few days . But there is no shot for miss ala and GA except for MAYBE NE Georgia mountains but that's doubtful at this point
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I agree...any totals south of the border counties are really suspect with that low track/vort amplitude. This is where Kuchera fails....19" in south person/N Durham counties. But hey, Roxboro always jackpots.