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Pattern Microwave March

Webberweather53 said:
Yep very true the central piedmont battle zone is probably going to be sharp again unless something changes... Might as well take a huge chance w/ a miller A bomb and risk mixing that way esp when we know even this far out it's almost inevitable in RDU at some pt. Plus it's mid-March, we should consider ourselves very fortunate we're even in this position to begin w/ and winter is nearly over, so why not go for the Hail Mary?
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We got enough of a mess in January I fully support a hail mary. I want to see the big totals and I don't really care where in NC they are.
 
The 0z GFS does plaster the MA/NE after it just missed doing so on Mar. 14-15. Throws a little snow into the southeast before doing so, even gets into Georgia but it's not much...
 
The CMC is pretty good for the upper south. (and also the wave stalls, cranks up in the gulf, and phases with that second Alberta clipper and bombs out in the MA/NE)
 
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Everyone just take a moment and think about what would happen if the southern stream piece over the NE GOM was just a hair slower on this CMC run. #weenie
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If the GFS is right next week, I made the correct judgement in having my dad hold off on shutting off the heat for now.
 
This run was to close for comfort but still ends up being a good snowfall for now.
Even if the models are showing this the night before I'll be worried as I've seen to many cold rains that were supposed to be 3-5 inches of snow. These close calls usually go the wrong way but we shall see.
It's definitely fun to have something to track.

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Webberweather53 said:
Everyone just take a moment and think about what would happen if the southern stream piece over the NE GOM was just a hair slower on this CMC run. #weenie
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Bombs away with stupid stupid clown maps and a lot of overreaction


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Storm5 said:
Bombs away with stupid stupid clown maps and a lot of overreaction


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Ugh, I can't deal w/ this crap again lol...
The professional side of me says don't pay any attention to this & move along, but the weenie part of me says oh look at this, inside day 5-6 and we almost triple phased... Ugh.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Ugh, I can't deal w/ this crap again lol...
The professional side of me says don't pay any attention to this & move along, but the weenie part of me says oh look at this, inside day 5-6 and we almost triple phased... Ugh.
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Unmet looks close as well but it looks like it would be a late phase . Hard to pay too much attention to the CMC for many reasons . However there have been a few gefs members with similar setups . Looping the CMC again and damn it was close . Like you said , slow down the southern vort and holy hell


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Storm5 said:
Unmet looks close as well but it looks like it would be a late phase . Hard to pay too much attention to the CMC for many reasons . However there have been a few gefs members with similar setups . Looping the CMC again and damn it was close . Like you said , slow down the southern vort and holy hell


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Yeah, I definitely agree... We were only a few hours away from getting an absolute monster on the eastern seaboard on day 6...
 
Anyone have the gefs members out yet, can't pull up right now
 
Meteorologist1999 said:
Eric isn't it further south again?? Now showing some light snow in the Northern Midlands of South Carolina?
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Yeah it was a little further south but once again the storm itself slowed down and the overall orientation of the s/w trough was less positive and there was more interaction w/ the northern branch of the jet as this rounded the southern periphery of the SE Canada vortex
 
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