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Pattern Microwave March

Ground temps don't bother me at all. Would it be ideal for ground temps to be in the 20s? Sure. But hey, if we can get frost, like we had the other day, surely we can get snow to accumulate if it comes down hard and temps are below freezing. Other people can light their hair on fire about ground temps if they want, but I'm not going to lose one second of sleep over it. The inevitable warm nose on the other hand.... :yikes:
 
Storm5 said:
Yeah it was a North of the GFS . Hopefully that's not a trend and is just the NAM being stupid at hour 84


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Yeah, not sure if it's the NAM being a ------ or if this is significant. For what it's worth, this is first model that I've seen actually trend faster/further N with the SE Canada inside day 3. If the GFS & ECMWF begin to follow suit and this continues for the next day or so, then I'll pay attention...
 
Storm5 said:
Yeah it was a North of the GFS . Hopefully that's not a trend and is just the NAM being stupid at hour 84


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I don't use the NAM for track, that's just foolishness ! But I will take its 850s as gospel, a day out!
 
It snowed a solid foot here in March 2014 and 6.5 inches of sleet in March of 2013. We are not as far south as most on here but far enough so it still does happen.
On another note if you want to take sun angle out of the equation get 6 inches of sleet. Was on the ground forever. Schools closed for a solid week for first time since 1985.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Yeah, not sure if it's the NAM being a ------ or if this is significant. For what it's worth, this is first model that I've seen actually trend faster/further N with the SE Canada inside day 3. If the GFS & ECMWF begin to follow suit and this continues for the next day or so, then I'll pay attention...
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Is this a problem even if we get a weaker wave?
 
NWTNWX said:
It snowed a solid foot here in March 2014 and 6.5 inches of sleet in March of 2013. We are not as far south as most on here but far enough so it still does happen.
On another note if you want to take sun angle out of the equation get 6 inches of sleet. Was on the ground forever. Schools closed for a solid week for first time since 1985.
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Maybe you have your years mixed up or maybe you are right, but Jackson, TN only had a trace of snow/sleet in March 2013. How far are you from there ? Also, Clarksville, TN had no snow/ice in March 2013.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
Maybe you have your years mixed up or maybe you are right, but Jackson, TN only had a trace of snow/sleet in March 2013. How far are you from there ? Also, Clarksville, TN had no snow/ice in March 2013.
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Yes. For some reason I started off on the wrong year and ran with it. It was 2015 and 2014 but Jackson is only 40 miles away and they did not do well at all with the sleet storm.
 
The position and strength of the SE Canada vortex didn't change much on this run vs 0z, if not it's slightly weaker & further N by a hair, and the overall flow is flatter. First time we've seen this short-medium range trend of deeper SE CAN vortex, steepening flow & slowing s/w come to a halt...
 
Energy is digging way early at 93 hours...may not be as suppressed as the 18z, could end up being another VA/NC border north hit.
 
Wunderground history sometimes isn't accurate. Mistakes will get fixed by them but I remember my dad told me that we actually saw some snow for quite a while in January 2000 (Carolina Crusher) and for a period of time, this was not showing on Wunderground on the official station. This was corrected though.
 
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