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Tropical Melissa

This will be a great test to see how much cooling of the surface there is by 10/29. Here was the SST map as of 10/24: note the large area of 30-31C surrounding Jamaica, which is the warmest in the Atlantic basin:
IMG_4964.png
 
😳 technically it wasn't even a hurricane 24 hours ago!


Satellite images indicate that maximum sustained winds have rapidly
increased to near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Melissa is
a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Melissa Intermediate Advisory Number 20A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 26 2025

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS SAMPLING MELISSA...
...LIFE-THREATENING AND CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES
EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF JAMAICA AND SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA THROUGH
MIDWEEK...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 76.4W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SSW OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES

Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher
gusts. Melissa is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Further rapid intensification is expected
through tonight, followed by fluctuations in intensity. Melissa is
expected to be a major hurricane when making landfall in Jamaica
Monday night or Tuesday morning and southeastern Cuba late Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles (280 km).

The minimum central pressure estimated by aircraft dropsonde data
is 952 mb (28.12 inches).
 
It doesn't help a lot of areas on the island are in extreme poverty and not well off

It's almost like Puerto Rico after Maria or the lower 9th during Katrina basically

Aaron Rigsby cancelled his flight at the last minute he's so worried about the aftermath

Josh is there, but he realistically expects to ā€œbeā€ in Jamaica for a while if this storm is as powerful as concerned on the island from what I read, kinda like his Dorian chase.
 
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